000
AXPZ20 KNHC 212125
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2205 UTC FRI MAR 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC.                           

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 06N78W TO 07N87W TO 05N95W. ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 04N105W TO 08N117W TO 05N121W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF 
ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 118W AND 122W.
     

...DISCUSSION...  

CONDITIONS REMAIN RELATIVELY QUIET AND BENIGN IN THE FORECAST 
AREA. STRONGEST WINDS ONLY REACHING FRESH BREEZE IMMEDIATELY N 
OF THE CONVERGENCE ZONE AND HIGHEST SEAS REACHING 8 FT N OF 28N 
BETWEEN 118W AND 129W. A BROAD RIDGE EXTENDS SOUTHWARD FROM 1029 
MB HIGH WELL N OF AREA NEAR 41N134W TO AROUND 17N ACROSS THE 
TROPICAL NE PACIFIC. 

VERY LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED TO THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THROUGH 
SUN. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES WILL CONTINUE N OF THE ITCZ W OF 
110W WITH COMBINED SEAS REACHING 7-8 FT W OF 120W. 

THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WILL EXPERIENCE DIURNAL PULSING OF HIGH 
WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG W CARIBBEAN WINDS FUNNELING THROUGH 
CENTRAL AMERICA ANOTHER FEW DAYS. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES PEAK 
WINDS GREATER THAN 25 KT WILL OCCUR AROUND 12Z EACH MORNING SAT 
THROUGH MON...WITH WIND-DRIVEN SEAS REACHING 8-9 FT BETWEEN 12Z-
18Z DOWNWIND FROM THE PAPAGAYO SOURCE REGION.
 
$$
MUNDELL