000
AXPZ20 KNHC 202125
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2205 UTC THU MAR 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC.                           

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
              
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 05N91W TO 06N112W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 03N TO 06N BETWEEN 106W AND 110W.

...DISCUSSION...  

CONDITIONS REMAIN RELATIVELY QUIET AND BENIGN IN THE FORECAST 
AREA. STRONGEST WINDS ONLY REACHING FRESH BREEZE IMMEDIATELY N 
OF THE CONVERGENCE ZONE AND HIGHEST SEAS REACHING 8 FT NW OF A 
LINE FROM 30N123W TO 20N140W. A BROAD RIDGE EXTENDS S-SE FROM 
1031 MB HIGH WELL N OF AREA NEAR 43N136W TO AROUND 20N IN THE 
TROPICAL NE PACIFIC. 

VERY LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED TO SYNOPTIC PATTERN DURING THE 
NEXT 2-3 DAYS. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES WILL CONTINUE N OF THE 
ITCZ W OF 110W WITH COMBINED SEAS REACHING 7-8 FT. NW SWELL WILL 
SPREAD SE AND COVER NW PART OF DISCUSSION AREA WITH 6-8 FT SEAS 
THROUGH FRI AS IT DECAYS.

A MINOR GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HIGH WIND EVENT WILL COMMENCE THIS 
AFTERNOON...PEAKING AT 30 KT TONIGHT...THEN RAPIDLY DIMINISH TO 
20 KT OR LESS BY FRI MORNING. WIND-DRIVEN SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO 
BRIEFLY REACH 8-9 FT TONIGHT.

THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WILL EXPERIENCE DIURNAL PULSING OF HIGH 
WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG W CARIBBEAN WINDS FUNNELING THROUGH 
CENTRAL AMERICA FOR SEVERAL DAYS. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES PEAK 
WINDS GREATER THAN 25 KT WILL OCCUR AROUND 12Z EACH MORNING FRI 
THROUGH MON...WITH WIND-DRIVEN SEAS REACHING 8-9 FT BETWEEN 12Z-
18Z DOWNWIND FROM THE PAPAGAYO SOURCE REGION.

$$
MUNDELL