000
AXPZ20 KNHC 110241
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE MAR 11 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0215 UTC.                           

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              

NO MONSOON TROUGH IS PRESENT. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 03N114W 
TO 09N131W TO BEYOND 05N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED.

...DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AT 1031 MB IS WELL N OF THE AREA LOCATED 
NEAR 40N133W. A RIDGE EXTENDS TO THE S THROUGH 32N130W THEN SE 
TO 13N101W. A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT THAT WAS POSITIONED OVER THE 
NW CORNER OF THE AREA HAS DISSIPATED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. 
WINDS ARE MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH N OF THE ITCZ UNDER THE 
RIDGING. A SET OF NW SWELL WITH SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS OF 8-14 
FT EXTENDS ACROSS THE WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 29N115W TO 
03N140W. THIS SET OF NW SWELL WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT 
LATE TUE NIGHT.

A NEW SET OF NW SWELL WILL ARRIVE LATE TUE NIGHT...COVERING THE 
WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 30N135W TO 27N140W...THEN GRADUALLY 
PROPAGATING TO THE SE THROUGH WED.

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...LIGHT TO MODERATE VARIABLE WINDS WILL 
PREVAIL THROUGH TUE NIGHT...BECOMING NW-N AT MODERATE TO FRESH 
LEVELS ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF ON WED AS THE PRESSURE 
GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION TIGHTENS. SEAS OF 1-3 FT WILL 
DOMINATE THROUGH TUE NIGHT...BUILDING TO 3-5 FT N OF 28N WED AS 
WINDS INCREASE.

GAP WINDS...WINDS WILL REMAIN MAINLY LIGHT TO MODERATE AND 
VARIABLE ACROSS THE GULFS OF TEHUANTEPEC...FONSECA...PAPAGAYO 
AND PANAMA THROUGH WED...EXCEPT NE-E AT MODERATE TO FRESH LEVELS 
IN PAPAGAYO DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS DURING 
PEAK DRAINAGE FLOW. SEAS WILL BE PRIMARILY 3-5 FT. LOOKING 
AHEAD...MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY FORECASTING A 
STRONG COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH THE GULF OF MEXICO WED THROUGH 
THU. A NORTHERLY GALE FORCE WIND TEHUANTEPEC EVENT IS POSSIBLE 
THU MORNING THROUGH SUNRISE FRI.

$$
LEWITSKY