000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020931
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                                                                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1005 UTC SUN MAR 2 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.                           

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 01N91W TO 08N119W TO 06N126W TO 03N140W. 
NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

...DISCUSSION... 

A WEAKENING FRONT EXTENDS FROM SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 
26N112W TO 17N127W. ASCAT SCATTEROMETER DATA AT 0600 UTC SHOWED 
LIGHT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE BOUNDARY. WINDS WILL DIMINISH 
TODAY AND NW SWELL WILL SUBSIDE AND SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 
THE FORECAST PERIOD. BY THIS AFTERNOON...SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER 
WILL COVER MUCH OF THE AREA N OF THE EQUATOR AND W OF 110W. 

A DEEP COMPLEX LOW WILL PASS NW OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. 
FRESH TO STRONG SW WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRUSH 
PAST THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA MON. THIS SYSTEM 
WILL ALSO USHER IN A FRESH SET OF LARGE NW SWELL...WITH SEAS 
BUILDING TO 16 FT OVER THE FAR NW PART OF THE FORECAST AREA BY 
MON EVENING. 

A SHARP UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING ALONG 120W IS SUPPORTING A WEAK 
SURFACE TROUGH ALONG THE CONVERGENCE ZONE...ROUGHLY FROM 06N TO 
12N ALONG 122W. LITTLE OR NO CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE 
TROUGH AT THIS TIME. 

WINDS WILL PULSE THROUGH THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THE NEXT COUPLE OF 
NIGHTS. WINDS WILL REACH 25 KT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON TODAY 
THEN DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY THIS EVENING. A WEAKER PULSE 
OF FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS IS EXPECTED LATE SUN NIGHT. 

$$
MUNDELL