000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020304
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                                                                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
0405 UTC SUN MAR 02 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.                           

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 02N105W TO 07N122W TO 08N127W TO 04N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED FROM 07N 
TO 12N BETWEEN 117W AND 121W.

...DISCUSSION... 

A WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL COAST OF 
BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 26N114W TO 17N127W. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH 
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUE TO DIMINISH...HAVING DIMINISHED TO 
20 KT OR LESS. WITH THE WINDS DIMINISHING...NW SWELL IS SLOWLY 
SUBSIDING WITH COMBINED SEAS CURRENTLY NEAR 20 FT OVER THE N 
CENTRAL WATERS. SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER ASSOCIATED WITH THE NW 
SWELL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SE ACROSS THE AREA...AND CURRENTLY 
COVER THE AREA W OF A LINE FROM 30N115W TO 26N113W TO 04N133W. 
THE FORWARD PROGRESS OF THE FRONT HAS SLOWED...AND THE BOUNDARY 
WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE THROUGH SUN. ASSOCIATED NW SWELLS WILL 
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE WHILE SPREADING SE OVER THE AREA. BY 
SUN AFTERNOON...SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER WILL COVER MUCH OF THE AREA 
N OF THE EQUATOR AND W OF 110W. 

A DEEP COMPLEX LOW WILL PASS NW OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. 
FRESH TO STRONG SW WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL AFFECT 
THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA BY MON. THIS SYSTEM WILL 
ALSO USHER IN A FRESH SET OF LARGE NW SWELL...WITH SEAS BUILDING 
TO 16 FT OVER THE FAR NW PART OF THE FORECAST AREA BY MON 
EVENING. 

A SHARP UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING ALONG 120W IS SUPPORTING A WEAK 
SURFACE TROUGH ALONG THE ITCZ ROUGHLY FROM 06N TO 12N ALONG 
120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PERSISTS NEAR THIS TROUGH 
FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 117W AND 121W. 

WINDS WILL PULSE OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO DURING THE NEXT 
COUPLE OF NIGHTS. WINDS WILL REACH 25 KT LATE TONIGHT INTO SUN 
AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING TO 20 KT OR LESS BY SUN EVENING. A 
WEAKER PULSE OF FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE 
SUN NIGHT. 

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AL