000
AXPZ20 KNHC 012112
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                                                                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
2205 UTC SAT MAR 01 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC.                           

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 02N103W TO 07N115W TO 07N125W TO 05N133W 
TO BEYOND 03N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS NOTED 
WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W AND 121W.

...DISCUSSION... 

A DEEP 997 MB LOW PRES CENTER IS LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF 
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA NEAR 36N124W. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTENDS 
FROM THE CENTRAL COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 27N114W TO 
17N127W. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT CONTINUE TO 
DIMINISH WITH FRESH TO STRONG WESTERLY WINDS FOUND N OF 28N 
BETWEEN 121W AND 128W. WITH THE WINDS DIMINISHING...NW SWELL IS 
SLOWLY SUBSIDING WITH COMBINED SEAS NEAR 23 FT IN THE AREA OF 
STRONGEST WINDS. SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SE 
ACROSS THE AREA...AND CURRENTLY COVER THE AREA W OF A LINE FROM 
30N115W TO 27N115W TO 05N132W. THE FRONT WILL STALL SUN FROM 
NEAR 29N113W TO 18N122W WHERE IT WILL DISSIPATE THROUGH SUN 
NIGHT. ASSOCIATED NW SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE 
WHILE SPREADING SE OVER THE AREA. BY SUN AFTERNOON...SEAS 8 FT 
OR GREATER WILL COVER MUCH OF THE AREA N OF THE EQUATOR AND W OF 
110W. 
 
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OF 1018 MB IS MOVING INTO THE AREA... 
CURRENTLY NEAR 24N140W IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. THE HIGH 
PRESSURE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 
HOURS. THIS WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS SOUTH OF 
18N. 

ANOTHER DEEP COMPLEX LOW WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE NW 
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SYSTEM WILL HELP USHER IN A FRESH SET OF 
LARGE NW SWELL...WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT OVER THE FAR NW 
PART OF THE FORECAST AREA BY MON AFTERNOON. 

WINDS WILL PULSE OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO DURING THE NEXT 
COUPLE OF NIGHTS. WINDS WILL REACH 25 KT LATE TONIGHT INTO SUN 
AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING TO 20 KT OR LESS BY SUN EVENING. A 
WEAKER PULSE OF FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE 
SUN NIGHT. 

$$
AL