000
AXPZ20 KNHC 011544
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                                                                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1605 UTC SAT MAR 01 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.                           

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
ITCZ FROM 06N108W TO 06N125W TO 03N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE BETWEEN 118W AND 
122W. 

A DEEP 997 MB OCCLUDED LOW PRES CENTER IS LOCATED OFF THE COAST 
OF CENTRAL CALIFORNIA NEAR 36N124W. A RELATED COLD FRONT EXTENDS 
FROM THE CENTRAL COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 29N115W TO 
16N130W. AN ASCAT PASS FROM 0620 UTC INDICATED 20 TO 30 KT 
WESTERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT OVER THE WATERS N OF 20N. AN 
ALTIMETER PASS FROM THE SAME TIME AND AREA INDICATED SEAS OF 12 
TO 28 FT N OF 20N. NW SWELL IN EXCESS OF 8 FT COVERS THE WATERS 
NW OF LINE FROM 30N115W TO 15N130W TO 14N140W. WEAK 1013 MB HIGH 
PRES CENTERED AHEAD OF THE FRONT NEAR 23N115W WILL DISSIPATE 
THROUGH TODAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES EASTWARD. THE FRONT WILL START 
TO STALL AND DISSIPATE SUN FROM THE CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 
27N115W TO 23N120W. 

BROAD HIGH PRES WILL BUILD BEHIND THE FRONT...REACHING 24N135W 
BY LATE SAT...THEN BUILD AS IT DRIFTS NE TO 27N125W BY LATE SUN. 
WHILE THIS WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS SOUTH OF 
18N...WINDS N OF 18N WILL DIMINISH THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE HIGH 
PRES BUILDS EAST. NW SWELL IN EXCESS OF 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO 
PUSH SE...WITH THE LEADING EDGE OF 8 FT OR HIGHER REACHING AS 
FAR EAST AS 105W BY MON. 

ANOTHER DEEP COMPLEX LOW WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE NW 
EARLY NEXT WEEK. STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL 
PREVAIL OVER THE WATERS N OF 25N W OF 135W BY MON. 

MEANWHILE A SHARP UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING ALONG 120W...RELATED TO 
THE LOW OFF CALIFORNIA...IS SUPPORTING A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH 
ALONG THE ITCZ FROM 06N TO 12N ALONG 120W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION PERSISTS NEAR THIS TROUGH FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 
118W AND 123W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE 
ALSO NOTED SOUTH OF PANAMA BETWEEN 02N TO 06N E OF 85W.

MODERATE TO FRESH PULSES WILL OCCUR IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO 
TONIGHT...WITH A STRONGER PULSE TO 25 KT EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO 
SUN AFTERNOON.

$$
CHRISTENSEN