000
AXPZ20 KNHC 251531
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                                                                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1605 UTC TUE FEB 25 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.                           

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              

ITCZ FROM 6N90W TO 4N105W TO 7N120W TO 4N130W TO 6N140W. NO 
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WITH AXIS FROM 32N126W TO 15N123W TO A 
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 6N122W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND 
STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS IS S OF 25N W OF 125W. 
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS W OF THE TROUGH. A 135-145 KT 
JETSTREAM IS W OF THE TROUGH FROM 30N140W TO 29N132W WHERE WINDS 
DECREASE TO 95-105 KT. A BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS E OF THE 
TROUGH. ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS IS S 
OF 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W...OTHERWISE MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL 
MOISTURE IS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE RIDGE N OF 15N. A 95-105 
KT JETS OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 24N120W TO 
NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AT 30N115W INTO NORTHERN MEXICO. A 
SHARP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM GUATEMALA TO 6N97W TO THE 
EQUATOR AT 96W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS ACROSS THE AREA E OF 100W.

A SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED ALONG THE ITCZ FROM 10N121W TO 
3N123W. A FEW SHOWERS ARE ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS.

COLD FRONT HAS ENTERED THE AREA FROM 32N134W TO 25N140W. 
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 150 NM E OF THE FRONT. LARGE NW 
SWELL TO 14 FT ARE ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA W OF A LINE 
FROM 32N131W TO 24N140W. THE SWELL WILL SPREAD SE.

ELY WINDS 20-25 KT CONTINUE ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. THE 
WINDS WILL DECREASE TO LESS THAN 20 KT WED.

$$
DGS