000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240932
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                                                                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1005 UTC MON FEB 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.                              

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 02N78W TO 04N83W TO 03N98W. ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 03N98W TO 07N113W TO 08N120W TO 09N130W TO 
09NN140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N TO 08N 
BETWEEN 87W AND 89W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 09N 
BETWEEN 111W AND 122W.  

...DISCUSSION...

IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE NW 
CORNER WITH AXIS FROM 30N132W TO 10N136W. A SMALL UPPER LEVEL 
LOW IS FURTHER E AT 30N124W MOVING E. DIFFLUENT UPPER LEVEL 
WINDS E OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS TRANSPORTING ABUNDANT MID 
TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE N WATERS TO BAJA CALIFORNIA 
AND N MEXICO. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS N OF 10N BETWEEN 105W 
AND 125W. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS S OF S MEXICO WITH AXIS 
FROM 20N97W TO BEYOND 3S97W WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE. ANOTHER 
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS E OF 90W TO INCLUDE 
CENTRAL AMERICA. 
 
ON THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT IS W OF THE AREA AND IS PRESENTLY 
AT 30N144W MOVING E. EXPECT THIS FRONT TO ENTER THE NW CORNER ON 
TONIGHT. ALSO EXPECT S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEAS TO 9 FT 
TO ENTER THE NW CORNER THIS EVENING IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. 
ANOTHER REINFORCING FRONT IS PESENTLY AT 30N153W. THIS FRONT 
WILL ENTER THE NW CORNER ON WED NIGHT WITH 12 TO 15 FT NW SWELL. 
 
A 1020 MB HIGH IS CENTERED JUST N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W. 
SURFACE RIDGING IS N OF 15N W OF 115W. MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE 
WINDS AND SEAS OF 6-7 FT ARE OBSERVED BY SCATTEROMETER DATA WITH 
THIS SYSTEM. IN THE TROPICS...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 
11N116W TO 04N115W MOVING W. THIS TROUGH IS GENERATING SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 111W AND 122W.  
                                      
GAP WINDS...                                                 
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE 
TO PULSE IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 
THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY 
MORNING HOURS WITH THE ASSISTANCE OF THE NOCTURNAL DRAINAGE 
FLOW. WINDS WILL BRIEFLY DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BETWEEN 18-00 
UTC EACH DAY. 

$$
FORMOSA