000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211554 CCA
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1605 UTC FRI FEB 21 2014

CORRECTED SATELLITE IMAGERY TIME

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.                              

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO 04N109W. THE ITCZ 
AXIS EXTENDS FROM 04N109W TO 07N128W TO 05N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT 
CONVECTION IS NOTED.

...DISCUSSION...

IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A RIDGE IS OVER THE NW CORNER N OF 20N W 
OF 125W. A CUT-OFF UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N121W. AN 
AREA OF DIFFLUENCE IS E OF THE CENTER FROM 10N TO 21N BETWEEN 
105W AND 120W ENHANCING SCATTERED SHOWERS. ELSEWHERE...AN UPPER 
LEVEL RIDGE WITH SUBSIDENCE IS E OF 105W INCLUDING CENTRAL 
AMERICA.

ON THE SURFACE...1023 MB HIGH IS CENTERED JUST N OF THE AREA 
NEAR 33N135W. SURFACE RIDGING IS N OF 13N W OF 110W. SEAS OF 8 
TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL ARE N OF 22N BETWEEN 115W AND 128W. ANOTHER 
AREA OF 8 TO 9 FT SEAS IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL ARE W OF A LINE 
FROM 05N140W TO 10N127W TO 19N140W. BOTH AREAS OF SWELL ARE 
EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT DURING THE NEXT 18-36 
HOURS.

WEAK 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE IS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 
06N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION HAS 
RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT WITH A LARGE AREA 
OF SCATTERED SHOWERS LOCATED ELSEWHERE ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH 
BETWEEN 96W AND 113W. THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WESTWARD 
AROUND 10 KT DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. SEAS MAY REACH TO 8 FT IN 
THE NE QUADRANT.
 
GAP WINDS...                                                     
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SW  
GULF OF MEXICO LATER TODAY. FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS WILL 
COMMENCE THIS EVENING...INCREASING TO 20-30 KT LATE TONIGHT INTO 
SAT MORNING. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 8-10 FT BY SAT MORNING. EXPECT 
WINDS TO DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO LESS 
THAN 8 FT BY SAT EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED 
AROUND 06 UTC TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH CURRENTLY DO NOT EXPECT A BRIEF 
PERIOD OF MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE 
TO PULSE IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 
THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY 
MORNING HOURS DURING MAXIMUM NOCTURNAL DRAINAGE...WITH WINDS 
BRIEFLY DIMINISHING TO 20 KT OR LESS BETWEEN 18-00 UTC EACH DAY.

GULF OF PANAMA...FRESH TO STRONG WINDS IN THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA 
WILL HELP TO FORCE FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS IN THE GULF OF 
PANAMA THIS MORNING...THEN WILL DIMINISH THEREAFTER AS THE 
CARIBBEAN WINDS DIMINISH.

$$
LEWITSKY