000
AXPZ20 KNHC 181535
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1605 UTC TUE FEB 18 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.                              

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 03N78W TO 05N86W TO 05N106W...THEN 
ITCZ TO 07N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. 

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 33N130W DOMINATES MOST 
OF THE REGION W OF 110W. HIGH PRES WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY 
NEAR CURRENT POSITION THROUGH WED THEN SHIFT NORTHWARD WED NIGHT 
AS THE RIDGE UNDERGOES A REALIGNMENT W OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. 
THE NORTHERN SHIFT OF THE RIDGE WILL SLIGHTLY WEAKEN TRADE WINDS 
N OF THE CONVERGENCE ZONE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. 6-8 FT 
SEAS WILL PREVAIL OVER MOST OF THE REGION THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 
THE NOTABLE EXCEPTIONS WILL BE IN NE PORTION OFF NORTHERN BAJA 
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATED WITH FRESH TO STRONG N-NW WINDS WEST OF 
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND LINGERING EFFECTS FROM GAP WINDS W OF 
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AND S OF THE GULF OF PANAMA. GAP WINDS ARE 
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BELOW 25 KT BY THU AND REMAIN SUCH THROUGH 
THE WEEKEND.

$$
MUNDELL