000
AXPZ20 KNHC 140913
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1005 UTC FRI FEB 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.                              
    

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 4N95W. ITCZ FROM 4N95W TO 7N125W 
TO 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 3N 
TO 7N BETWEEN 80W-85W. 

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION 
AREA WITH AXIS FROM 32N1127W TO 5N130W. ABUNDANT MID AND UPPER 
LEVEL MOISTURES IS WITHIN 600 NM E OF THE TROUGH. STRONG 
SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR IS W OF THE TROUGH. AN UPPER 
LEVEL RIDGE IS NW OF THE TROUGH. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL RIDGE E OF 
THE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 12N104W TO 32N118W. IN THE DEEP TROPICS 
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 4N88W. 
DIFFLUENT FLOW E OF THE ANTICYCLONE IS ENHANCING CONVECTION FROM 
3N-5N BETWEEN 80W-85W.

SURFACE HIGH PRES IS FORECAST TO BUILD S INTO SOUTHERN MEXICO 
SAT EVENING AND WILL RESULT IN NLY WINDS INCREASING TO 20-25 KT 
THROUGH THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.

ELY WINDS 20-25 KT WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO 
LATER THIS MORNING...WILL DECREASE TO LESS THAN 20 KT SAT NIGHT.

$$
DGS