000 AXPZ20 KNHC 020319 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN FEB 02 2014 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0300 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 06N77W TO 08N83W TO 05N95W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 05N95W TO 06N110W TO 09N121W TO 06N130W TO 07140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 130W AND 135W. ...DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE NW CORNER WITH AXIS ALONG 134W N OF 10N. A CUTOFF UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED FURTHER E NEAR 10N116W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF THE CENTER FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 111W AND 120W. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS E OF 100W WITH AXIS ALONG 80W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS E OF 100W. A 1024 MB HIGH IS CENTERED JUST N OF THE AREA NEAR 31N135W. A SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SE TO 20N110W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE TROPICS FROM 07N122W TO 13N120W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS WEAK OVER WESTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS IS KEEPING WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. A SMALL AREA OF NW SWELL LINGERS FROM 08N TO 12N W OF 130W WITH 9 FT SEAS. THIS SWELL WILL DISSIPATE WITHIN 24 HOURS. ANOTHER SET OF NW SWELLS WILL PROPAGATE INTO THE AREA SUN PRODUCING COMBINED SEAS NEAR 9 FT N OF 28N W OF 137W. THIS SWELL TRAIN WILL MOVE ESE SUN AND MON. GAP WINDS... GULF OF PAPAGAYO...MODERATE TO FRESH TRADEWINDS OVER THE CARIBBEAN ARE FUNNELING THROUGH THE GAP IN CENTRAL AMERICA TO PRODUCE NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS SUN AFTERNOON AS THE TRADEWINDS OVER THE CARIBBEAN DIMINISH. $$ FORMOSA