000 AXPZ20 KNHC 012152 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT FEB 01 2014 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N83W TO 04N93W TO 03N103W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 03N103W TO 07N122W TO 05N130W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 131W AND 137W. ...DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE NW CORNER WITH AXIS ALONG 134W N OF 10N. A CUTOFF UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED FURTHER E NEAR 10N116W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF THE CENTER FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 111W AND 120W. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS E OF 100W WITH AXIS ALONG 80W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS E OF 100W. A 1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED JUST N OF THE AREA NEAR 33N130W. A SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SE TO 20N113W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 27N110W TO 22N107W. ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE TROPICS FROM 13N120W TO 05N122W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS WEAK OVER WESTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS IS KEEPING WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. A SMALL AREA OF NW SWELL LINGERS FROM 08N TO 13N W OF 130W WITH 9 FT SEAS. THIS SWELL WILL DISSIPATE WITHIN 24 HOURS. ANOTHER SET OF NW SWELLS WILL PROPAGATE INTO THE AREA SUN PRODUCING COMBINED SEAS NEAR 9 FT N OF 28N W OF 137W. THIS SWELL TRAIN WILL MOVE ESE SUN AND MON. GAP WINDS... GULF OF PAPAGAYO...MODERATE TO FRESH TRADEWINDS OVER THE CARIBBEAN ARE FUNNELING THROUGH THE GAP IN CENTRAL AMERICA TO PRODUCE NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS SUN AFTERNOON AS THE TRADEWINDS OVER THE CARIBBEAN DIMINISH. $$ FORMOSA