000
AXPZ20 KNHC 010314
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0405 UTC SAT FEB 01 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.                              
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 05N78W TO 03N80W TO 05N92W. ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 05N92W TO 04N100W TO 07N117W TO 05N125W TO 08N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 132W 
AND 140W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE NW CORNER WITH AXIS FROM 
08N133W TO BEYOND 30N133W. A CUTOFF UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED 
NEAR 09N115W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE NE OF THE CENTER IS 
ENHANCING CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 19N BETWEEN 107W AND 115W. 
FURTHER E...A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS E OF 95W WITH AXIS 
ALONG 80W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS E OF 95W. 

A 1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED JUST N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N136W. A 
SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SE TO 20N110W. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE 
WILL STRENGTHEN SAT AS THE HIGH BUILDS S TO NEAR 32N136W. 8 FT 
SWELL WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN PORTION W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IN 24 
HOURS. A DIFFERENT SWELL TRAIN WILL MOVE OVER THE NW PORTION IN 
48 HOURS AND THEN SPREAD ESE.  

20-25 KT WINDS ARE TO RESUME OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WITHIN 12 
HOURS...THEN DECREASE TO LESS THAN 20 KT WITHIN 24 HOURS. THIS 
MAY BE THE LAST PAPAGAYO WIND SURGE FOR THE IMMEDIATE FUTURE.

$$
FORMOSA