000
AXPZ20 KNHC 031000
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1005 UTC TUE SEP 3 2013

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.
                
...SPECIAL FEATURE... 

LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 16N102W. 
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF 
THIS SYSTEM...AND THE LATEST NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK GIVES 
THIS LOW PRESSURE AREA A MEDIUM CHANCE OF DEVELOPING INTO A 
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
 
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N77W TO 10N94W TO LOW PRES 
NEAR 16N102W 1010 MB...THEN RESUMES FROM 13N110W TO 12N115W TO 
LOW PRES NEAR 15N125W 1012 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 14N135W 1012 MB 
TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 
11N TO 15N BETWEEN 105W AND 113W.

...DISCUSSION...

POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KIKO IS CENTERED NEAR 23N116.5W. KIKO 
WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN...THEN DISSIPATE BY WED. THERE ARE TWO 
WEAK LOW PRES SYSTEMS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH W OF 
120W...ONE NEAR 15N125W AND THE OTHER NEAR 14N135W. NEITHER OF 
THESE LOW PRESSURE CENTERS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP...AND ARE 
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 
MARINE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA ARE QUITE 
BENIGN DUE A VERY WEAK PRES GRADIENT. THIS PERIOD OF UNUSUALLY 
LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH EARLY WED...AND 
DEPENDING ON WHAT TRANSPIRES WITH THE LOW NEAR 16N102W...COULD 
EVEN PERSIST THROUGH THU NIGHT.

$$
MUNDELL