000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020930
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1005 UTC MON SEP 2 2013

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE... 

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO CENTERED NEAR 22.7N 116.3W AT 0900 UTC 
MOVING NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL 
PRESSURE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. 
NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL 
CYCLONE. KIKO HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM AS IT 
CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN OVER COOL WATERS. IT IS EXPECTED TO 
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND 
DISSIPATE COMPLETELY BY TUE NIGHT.
                
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...               

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 14N97W TO 10N114W... 
THEN RESUMES FROM LOW PRES NEAR 16N123W 1010 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 
12N136W 1011 MB TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 16N100.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH 
BETWEEN 101W AND 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 
NM EITHER SIDE OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 87W AND 95W.

...DISCUSSION...

THERE ARE A PAIR OF WEAK LOW PRES SYSTEMS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE 
MONSOON TROUGH...ONE NEAR 15N125W AND THE OTHER NEAR 12N136W. 
NEITHER OF THESE LOW PRESSURE CENTERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP 
SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ASIDE FROM KIKO... 
MARINE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA ARE QUITE 
BENIGN DUE A VERY WEAK PRES GRADIENT. AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF 
UNUSUALLY QUIET WINDS AND SEAS IS EXPECTED THROUGH WED OR THU.

$$
MUNDELL