000 AXPZ20 KNHC 220916 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON JUL 22 2013 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 12N100W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N106W 1008 MB TO 11N120W TO 11N135W. ITCZ FROM 11N135W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM S OF OF AXIS FROM 85W-112W AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS FROM 131W-136W. ...DISCUSSION... UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA EXTENDS FROM AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 15N135W TO 32N132W. DOWNSTREAM UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N129W TO A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 27N126W TO ANOTHER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 24N119W. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY/STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS IS N OF 15N W OF 115W. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION ALONG THE W COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 23N107W. ABUNDANT DEEP LEVEL TROPICAL MOISTURE COVERS ALL OF MEXICO AND S INTO CENTRAL AMERICA. SURFACE RIDGE COVERS THE AREA N OF 20N W OF 120W. A 1008 MB LOW PRES IS NEAR 11N107W. S TO SW WINDS ARE SE OF THE LOW FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 100W-110W. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE TO THE NW. SURFACE TROUGH FROM 20N113W TO 12N121W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS. ELY WINDS TO 20-25 KT AND SEAS TO 8 FT ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WILL DECREASE LESS THAN 20 KT AND SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT TONIGHT. $$ DGS