000
AXPZ20 KNHC 280924
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1005 UTC FRI JUN 28 2013

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
DISORGANIZED LOW PRES...1010 MB...NEAR 11N104W. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWEST.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 
MONSOON TROUGH 10N86W TO 1012 MB LOW PRES AT 11N105W TO
10N111W AND RESUMES FROM 9N125W TO 6N136W. ITCZ 6N136W TO 
7N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION N OF 05W E OF 
85W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 110 NM S OF 
AXIS FROM 86W-95W. NUMROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 
180 NM N AND 120 NM S OF AXIS FROM 97W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
TO STRONG WITHIN 240 NM N AND 150 NM S OF AXIS FROM 106W-111W.

...DISCUSSION... 
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION
ARE WITH AXIS FROM 32N137W TO 25N140W. DOWNSTREAM UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 28N127W WITH RIDGE 
EXTENDING NE-SW FROM 32N125W TO 21N147W. SUBSIDING AIR MASS
ALOFT KEEPS REGION N OF 10N W OF 126W VERY DRY AND STABLE. 
SECOND ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 23N119W.   

REMNANT LOW PRES...PREVIOUSLY COSME...NEAR 22N125W 1005 MB. 
20-25 KT WINDS ARE WITHIN 240 N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES.
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW STILL A GOOD CIRCULATION BUT NO
CONVECTION.

SURFACE HIGH PRES RIDGE IS N OF THE REMNANTS OF COSME.
 
$$ 
DGS