000 AXPZ20 KNHC 240251 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON JUN 24 2013 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0230 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E IS NEAR 12.60N 104.47W 1005 MB AT 0300 UTC JUN 24 MOVING NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION LIES WITHIN 210 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND A HURRICANE BY TUE MORNING AS IT MOVES IN A GENERAL NW MOTION. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E...PLEASE SEE THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY FROM NHC UNDER THE HEADER WTPZ23/TCPEP3. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 09N83W TO 10N99W THEN RESUMES FROM 13N108W TO 1008 MB LOW PRES NEAR 13N114W TO 09N128W. ITCZ AXIS FROM 09N128W TO 08N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 81W AND 84W...AND BETWEEN 87W AND 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM N OF ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 128W AND 132W...AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF ITCZ AXIS W OF 137W. ...DISCUSSION... A NEARLY STATIONARY 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE IS NEAR 14N114W. CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED NEAR THIS LOW...WITH ONLY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE. THE LOW WILL OPEN INTO A TROUGH THROUGH TONIGHT. THE DEVELOPING TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE- E FURTHER E WILL CAPTURE THE REMNANTS INTO ITS CIRCULATION. A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS E TO W ALONG 26N FROM A 1025 MB HIGH PRES AREA CENTERED N OF HAWAII NEAR 29N150W. THIS HIGH PRES WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...ALLOWING THE TRADES WINDS S OF THE RIDGE TO DIMINISH AS WELL. A SMALL AREA OF 8 FT SEAS PERSISTS FROM 10N TO 13N W OF 138W...BUT THIS WILL SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT AS THE WINDS DIMINISH. MIXED S SWELL RESULTING IN COMBINED SEAS TO 9 FT HAS CROSSED THE EQUATOR BETWEEN 110W AND 135W...AND WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE NE REACHING PAST 10N BETWEEN 100W-125W TONIGHT. THIS SOUTHERLY SWELL WILL MERGE WITH MIXED SWELL DEVELOPING NEAR TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E. THE CROSS-EQUATORIAL SOUTHERLY SWELL SHOULD REACH THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO BETWEEN 97W-105W LATE MON...THEN BE REINFORCED BY NEW S SWELL E OF THE DEVELOPING TROPICAL CYCLONE...WITH THE COMBINED SWELL MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON TUE NIGHT...AND PROPAGATING N ALONG THE WESTERN SHORE OF THE BAJA PENINSULA REACHING ALONG 30N ON WED NIGHT. A TROPICAL WAVE THAT HAD BEEN MOVING THROUGH THE GULF OF FONSECA N 0F 10N APPEARS TO BE LOSING DEFINITION AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH. THERE HAD BEEN INDICATIONS A FEW HOURS AGO PER AN ASCAT PASS OF WINDS TO 20 KT NEAR THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO BEHIND THE TROPICAL WAVE AS THE WAVE MOVED OVER PACIFIC WATERS...BUT A PAIR OF SHIP REPORTS INDICATED THESE WINDS ARE DIMINSIHING. LINGERING SEAS TO 8 FT IN FRESH E SWELL MAY STILL BE IN THE VICINITY 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 92W...BUT THIS SHOULD SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT. $$ CHRISTENSEN