000 AXPZ20 KNHC 261540 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...COR NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON NOV 26 2012 CORRECTION IN ORDER TO UPDATE THE LAST THREE PARAGRAPHS TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1500 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 07N77W TO 06N79W TO 08N85W TO 07N91W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 07N91W TO 06N96W TO 09N112W TO 08N122W TO 09N127W TO 09N134W TO 08N140W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W...AND FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 124W AND 135W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 112W AND 117W...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH OF 05N TO THE EAST OF 87W...IN BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED DEBRIS CLOUDS. ...DISCUSSION... THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEAS RANGING FROM 5 TO 8 FEET ARE OBSERVED STILL. EXPECT WIND SPEEDS TO DIMINISH MORE TONIGHT TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS. REMNANT NORTHEASTERLY SWELL IS OBSERVED WITHIN THE AREA THAT IS BOUNDED FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 97 AND 112W. THE SWELL IS MIXING WITH BOTH LONG PERIOD NORTHWESTERLY SWELL AND CROSS EQUATORIAL SOUTHEASTERLY SWELL. THE RESULT IS COMBINED SEAS FROM 7 TO 9 FEET. NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20-25 KT AGAIN IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON...RAPIDLY INCREASING TO A MINIMAL GALE AROUND SUNSET ON TUESDAY...AND INCREASING MORE TO 35 TO 45 KNOTS LATER ON TUESDAY AT NIGHT. THESE NORTHERLY GALE WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL JUST AFTER SUNRISE ON THURSDAY. THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS DURING THE WEEKEND. THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...FRESH EASTERLY TRADEWINDS...THAT ARE BLOWING ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...WILL CONTINUE TO SURGE INTO AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO IN THE RANGE OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY...AND THEN DIMINISH TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS ON WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH THESE CONDITIONS PERSISTING LATER IN THE WEEK. BROAD SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TO THE NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN 114W AND 132W. NORTHEASTERLY TRADEWIND FLOW THAT IS IN THE AREA FROM 09N TO 14N TO THE WEST OF 137W RANGES FROM 15 TO 20 KNOTS SEA HEIGHTS REACHING 8 FEET IN MIXED NORTHEASTERLY AND SOUTHERLY SWELL. THESE SEAS SHOULD BE SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 8 FEET IN DURING THE NEXT SIX HOURS OR SO. LONG PERIOD NORTHWESTERLY SWELL IS MIXING WITH CROSS EQUATORIAL SWELL IN THE WATERS THAT ARE TO THE SOUTH OF 07N BETWEEN 100W AND 125W. THIS IS RESULTING IN SEA HEIGHTS REACHING 9 FEET. THE AREA OF ENHANCED SEAS IS EXPECTED TO SHRINK FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 107W AND 117W LATE TONIGHT...AND FROM 09-12N BETWEEN 115W AND 122W ON TUESDAY NIGHT...WHEN THE NORTHWESTERLY SWELL DECAYS...AND THE PRIMARILY SWELL COMPONENTS WILL BE FROM THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST. THE SURFACE HIGH IS FORECAST TO SHIFT SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE NORTHWESTERN WATERS WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW ALREADY AT 20-25 KT OVER THE WATERS THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 28N TO THE WEST OF 138W...AND 6 TO 8 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS. THE COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH 30N134W BEYOND 24N140W LATE TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL BE PRECEDED BY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS RANGING FROM 8 TO 10 FEET WITHIN 300 NM TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT. THE SURFACE HIGH WILL BEGIN TO BLOCK THE FRONT...AS IT PASSES THROUGH 30N129W TO 20N137W ON TUESDAY NIGHT. SOUTH-TO-SOUTHWEST WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 KNOTS WITH SEA HEIGHTS RANGING FROM 8 TO 12 FEET WILL CONTINUE TO THE NORTH OF 25N WITHIN 300 NM TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT. WESTERLY WINDS THAT ARE RANGING FROM 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE TO THE NORTH OF 24N TO THE WEST OF THE FRONT. LONG PERIOD NORTHWESTERLY SWELL WILL BUILD SEA HEIGHTS THAT ARE TO THE WEST OF THE FRONT FROM 8 FEET TO A MAXIMUM OF 16 FEET ALONG 30N. THE FRONT WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF THE SURFACE HIGH...WITH THE FRONTAL REMNANTS REACHING THE EXTREME NORTHERN BAJA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY MORNING. THE LONG PERIOD NORTHWESTERLY SWELL... PRODUCING SEAS THAT WILL REACH 8 FT...WILL ARRIVE AT NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AND THEY WILL ARRIVE IN THE AREA OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA LATE FRIDAY. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT THAT IS TO THE EAST OF THE SURFACE HIGH WILL HELP TO INCREASE THE NORTHERLY WIND FLOW TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE FAR NORTHWESTERN WATERS ON FRIDAY. IT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY ANOTHER ROUND OF A 20 TO 30 KNOT SOUTHWESTERLY-TO-WESTERLY WIND SHIFT. GALE WIND CONDITIONS WILL REACH AS FAR TO THE SOUTH AS 31N. LONG PERIOD NORTHWESTERLY SWELL WILL RESULT IN SEA HEIGHTS RANGING FROM 8 TO 16 FEET TO PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE PACIFIC WATERS THAT ARE TO THE WEST OF A LINE FROM THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA TO 07N123W LATE ON FRIDAY. $$ MT