000
AXPZ20 KNHC 142130
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SAT APR 14 2012

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 02N102W TO 04N108W TO 04N132W TO 02N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 200 NM N OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 110W TO 122W.

...DISCUSSION...
W TO NW WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM SOUTHERN 
ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO INTO SONORA AND BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO 
ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH N OF 28N E OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF CALIFORNIA. VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE EVIDENCE OF 
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THIS AREA...AND SCATTEROMETER AND SHIP 
OBSERVATIONS ARE MORE THAN 12 HOURS OLD. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES
NW TO N WINDS AROUND 20 KT WILL PERSIST ALONG THE W COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA TONIGHT INTO SUN MORNING THEN DIMINISH SUN AFTERNOON.
LARGE NW SWELL TO 14 FT GENERATED BY WINDS N OF THE AREA BEHIND 
THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO AROUND 11-12 FT SUN THEN 9-10
FT MON. COMBINED SEAS WILL BE 8 FT OR BELOW N OF 20N BY TUESDAY.

HIGH PRES RIDGE ANCHORED BY 1029 MB HIGH NEAR 31N136W WILL CHANGE
VERY LITTLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN NEAR
30N135W THROUGH TUE AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY TO AROUND 1026 MB BY TUE.
AS A RESULT MODERATE TO FRESH E-NE TRADE WINDS WILL PERSIST WITH 
VERY LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH TUE. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE 
FOUND FROM 07N TO 16N W OF 130W BUT THE REGION OF ENHANCED TRADES
AND WIND WAVES S OF THE RIDGE WILL EXTEND WESTWARD FROM 115W.

$$
MUNDELL