000
AXPZ20 KNHC 010304
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE NOV 01 2011

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY 
THROUGH 0300 UTC.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH 09N84W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W TO 07N108W. 
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE 07N108W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N116W 
TO 09N129W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 06N87W...WITHIN A 
45 NM RADIUS OF 08N85W...AND FROM 07N TO 09N BETWEEN 134W AND 
138W. 

...DISCUSSION...

A LARGE AREA OF SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT ARE 
LOCATED NW OF A LINE FROM 30N115W TO 22N130W TO 13N140W. 
SATELLITE CLOUD DRIFT WINDS INDICATE SPEEDS RANGING FROM 35 TO 
45 KT. A MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED AT 
16N115W AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE N OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE 
CIRCULATION COVERS THE AREA FROM 07N TO 20N BETWEEN 110W AND 
122W. MODERATE WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT ARE LOCATED OVER THE DEEP 
TROPICS S OF 10N TO THE EQUATOR W OF 128W. AT THE SURFACE A 
RIDGE IS LOCATED THROUGH 32N138W TO 23N122W TO 18N110W. WATER 
VAPOR IMAGERY FROM GOES13 INDICATES STRONG SUBSIDENCE FROM THE 
EQUATOR INTO MEXICO BETWEEN 93W AND 110W. OVER THE EASTERN PART 
OF THE DISCUSSION AREA LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS ALOFT 
ARE LOCATED E OF ABOUT 93W. A GALE WARNING OVER THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC IS PRODUCING N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT WITH SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO DROP BELOW GALE FORCE IN 30 HOURS.

$$
CAB