000 AXPZ20 KNHC 030905 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN JUL 03 2011 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0830 UTC. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 16N96W TO 15N103W TO 17N108W TO 10N120W TO 07N135W. AXIS OF ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 07N135W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF OF THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 101W AND 110W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 82W AND 112W. ...DISCUSSION... A PAIR OF UPPER LEVEL HIGHS ARE CENTERED W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT 25N117W AND 20N135W WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS OVER THE TROPICS NEAR 10N110W WITH SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE. MODERATE UPPER LEVEL NE FLOW IS ALSO OVER CENTRAL AMERICA N OF 10N E OF 100W WITH ABUNDANT MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE. AT THE SURFACE...BROAD HIGH PRES CENTER 1024 MB NEAR 35N145W CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN FAIR AND STABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE E PACIFIC N OF 10N W OF 110W WITH SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ACROSS REGION. PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURES OVER THE SW CONUS IS RESULTING IN GALE FORCE WINDS JUST N OF 32W ALONG COAST OF CALIFORNIA...ALLOWING MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS ALONG W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH SEAS TO 8 FT. WINDS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN EARLY SUN AS HIGH PRES CENTER DRIFTS N AND WEAKENS. FRESH N TO NE WINDS OF 20 KT WITH SEAS BUILDING 8-10 FT WILL MAINTAIN THROUGH FORECAST PERIOD N OF 27N BETWEEN 118W AND 132W. ALSO CROSS-EQUATORIAL 20 KT SOUTHERLY FLOW IS S OF 10N BETWEEN 98W AND 112W ACCOMPANIED WITH A LARGE AREA OF 8 FT SWELL W OF 98W TO 140W. SURFACE TROUGH...REMNANTS OF ARLENE...IS LOCATED JUST S OF THE TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS REMAINS AS THE TROUGH MOVES WESTWARD OVER SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER WATERS. $$ FORMOSA 000 AXPZ20 KNHC 030905 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN JUL 03 2011 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0830 UTC. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 16N96W TO 15N103W TO 17N108W TO 10N120W TO 07N135W. AXIS OF ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 07N135W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF OF THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 101W AND 110W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 82W AND 112W. ...DISCUSSION... A PAIR OF UPPER LEVEL HIGHS ARE CENTERED W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT 25N117W AND 20N135W WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS OVER THE TROPICS NEAR 10N110W WITH SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE. MODERATE UPPER LEVEL NE FLOW IS ALSO OVER CENTRAL AMERICA N OF 10N E OF 100W WITH ABUNDANT MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE. AT THE SURFACE...BROAD HIGH PRES CENTER 1024 MB NEAR 35N145W CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN FAIR AND STABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE E PACIFIC N OF 10N W OF 110W WITH SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ACROSS REGION. PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURES OVER THE SW CONUS IS RESULTING IN GALE FORCE WINDS JUST N OF 32W ALONG COAST OF CALIFORNIA...ALLOWING MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS ALONG W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH SEAS TO 8 FT. WINDS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN EARLY SUN AS HIGH PRES CENTER DRIFTS N AND WEAKENS. FRESH N TO NE WINDS OF 20 KT WITH SEAS BUILDING 8-10 FT WILL MAINTAIN THROUGH FORECAST PERIOD N OF 27N BETWEEN 118W AND 132W. ALSO CROSS-EQUATORIAL 20 KT SOUTHERLY FLOW IS S OF 10N BETWEEN 98W AND 112W ACCOMPANIED WITH A LARGE AREA OF 8 FT SWELL W OF 98W TO 140W. SURFACE TROUGH...REMNANTS OF ARLENE...IS LOCATED JUST S OF THE TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS REMAINS AS THE TROUGH MOVES WESTWARD OVER SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER WATERS. $$ FORMOSA