000 AXPZ20 KNHC 010918 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI JUL 01 2011 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS 17N101W 11N120W 8N130W. ITCZ AXIS 8N130W 7N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 300 NM N AND 120 NM S OF AXIS FROM 101W TO 104W. ...DISCUSSION... UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 18N133W WITH RIDGE NNW TO 28N136W. AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 26N127W SEPARATES THE FIRST ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION FROM ANOTHER ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 31N121W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY STABLE AIR AND THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS COVERS THE AREA N OF 10N W OF 115W AND N OF 25N E OF 115W. ANOTHER ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED S OF THE TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 22N110W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW S OF THE ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ENHANCING NUMEROUS STRONG TSTMS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 15N-20N. IN THE DEEP TROPICS AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 5N134W. BROAD SURFACE RIDGE ACCOMPANIED BY BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS COVERS THE AREA N OF 14N W OF 115W. THE PRES GRADIENT NE OF THE RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN A SWATH OF NORTHWESTERLY 15 TO 20 KT WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. NORTHERLY SWELL ACCOMPANIED BY NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 KT WILL RESULT IN COMBINED SEAS TO 8 FT THAT ARE EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE S INTO THE PACIFIC WATERS TO THE N OF 28N BETWEEN 120W AND 132W BEGINNING LATE FRI AND CONTINUE INTO SAT. $$ DGS 000 AXPZ20 KNHC 010918 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI JUL 01 2011 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS 17N101W 11N120W 8N130W. ITCZ AXIS 8N130W 7N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 300 NM N AND 120 NM S OF AXIS FROM 101W TO 104W. ...DISCUSSION... UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 18N133W WITH RIDGE NNW TO 28N136W. AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 26N127W SEPARATES THE FIRST ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION FROM ANOTHER ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 31N121W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY STABLE AIR AND THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS COVERS THE AREA N OF 10N W OF 115W AND N OF 25N E OF 115W. ANOTHER ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED S OF THE TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 22N110W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW S OF THE ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ENHANCING NUMEROUS STRONG TSTMS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 15N-20N. IN THE DEEP TROPICS AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 5N134W. BROAD SURFACE RIDGE ACCOMPANIED BY BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS COVERS THE AREA N OF 14N W OF 115W. THE PRES GRADIENT NE OF THE RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN A SWATH OF NORTHWESTERLY 15 TO 20 KT WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. NORTHERLY SWELL ACCOMPANIED BY NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 KT WILL RESULT IN COMBINED SEAS TO 8 FT THAT ARE EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE S INTO THE PACIFIC WATERS TO THE N OF 28N BETWEEN 120W AND 132W BEGINNING LATE FRI AND CONTINUE INTO SAT. $$ DGS