000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030351
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN APR 03 2011

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY 
THROUGH 0330 UTC.

...ITCZ...

AXIS CENTERED ALONG 8N81W 4N92W 2N103W 4N124W 1N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 
92W-94W...AND 60 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-96W.

...DISCUSSION...

PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN STRONG HIGH PRES OF 1031 MB LOCATED
WELL N OF THE AREA NEAR 40N135W AND LOWER PRES OVER THE NE
PORTION AND W OF CALIFORNIA IS SUPPORTING FRESH NE WINDS ACROSS
THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA. THESE WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE INTO
EARLY MON BEFORE DIMINISHING.

NW SWELLS PREVAIL TO THE N OF 10N AND W OF 115W ALLOWING FOR
MAXIMUM SEA HEIGHTS OF 12 FT OVER THE NW PART OF THE AREA. 
MEANWHILE...SW SWELL SPREADING FROM THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE IS 
MIXING WITH NW SWELL S OF 10N W OF 110W. NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE 
TO PROPAGATE SE NEXT 48 HOURS.

GFS MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES A CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CUT 
OFF NEAR 24N130W IN ABOUT 24 HOURS THEN DRIFT SLOWLY W TOWARD 
BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH TUE.

$$
MUNDELL