000
AXPZ20 KNHC 022135
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SAT APR 2 2011

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY 
THROUGH 2100 UTC.

...ITCZ...

AXIS CENTERED ALONG 09N84W TO 02N103W TO 03N119W TO 06N126W TO 
02N132W TO 02N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM S 
OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 94W.


...DISCUSSION...

PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG HIGH PRES 1033 MB N OF 
THE AREA NEAR 40N136W IS SUPPORTING FRESH NE TRADE WINDS IN NW 
PORTION OF DISCUSSION AREA...WHICH WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MON.

NW SWELL PREVAILS N OF 10N W OF 115W WITH THE HIGHEST SEAS TO 12 
FT OVER THE NW PART OF THE AREA. MEANWHILE...SW SWELL SPREADING 
FROM THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE IS MIXING WITH NW SWELL S OF 10N W 
OF 107W. NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SE NEXT 48 HOURS.

GFS MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES A CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CUT 
OFF NEAR 24N130W IN ABOUT 24 HOURS THEN DRIFT SLOWLY W TOWARD 
BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH TUE.

$$
MUNDELL