000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240930
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC THU MAR 24 2011

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...ITCZ...

THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS IS ANALYZED FROM 10N86W 
TO 04N99W TO 03N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 
NM N OF AXIS W OF 120W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N116W TO 20N140W. ASCAT 
DATA INDICATES WINDS ARE LESS THAN 20 KT NW OF THE FRONT WHILE 
SEAS REMAIN 9-12 FT IN NW SWELL. THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE OVER 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. 

FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS PREVAIL FROM 06N TO 23N W OF 126W. 
HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDING INTO THE AREA W OF THE COLD FRONT IS 
ENHANCING TRADE WIND FLOW IN WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA. AS THE 
COLD FRONT PUSHES E AND DISSIPATES THE RIDGE WILL EXTEND FURTHER 
WEST. THIS WILL INCREASE THE AREAL COVERAGE OF TRADES OVER THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN RIDGING OVER THE N WATERS AND TROUGHING 
OVER CENTRAL MEXICO IS PRODUCING FRESH NW WINDS N OF 25N WITHIN 
90 NM W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND WITHIN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. 
THIS AREA OF FRESH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SAT.

GAP WINDS...
FRESH TO STRONG TRADES IN THE SW CARIBBEAN CONTINUE TO FUNNEL 
INTO THE GULFS OF PAPAGAYO AND PANAMA. THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH 
BELOW 20 KT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 

$$
MUNDELL