000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260908
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SAT FEB 26 2011

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...ITCZ...
THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS IS ANALYZED FROM 08N81W 
TO 04N100W TO 06N140W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...A REX BLOCK PATTERN REMAINS IN PLACE IN THE MID AND 
UPPER LEVELS OVER THE NE PACIFIC N OF 30N ALONG ROUGHLY 150W. TO 
THE EAST...A POWERFUL DEEP LAYER LOW CENTER CONTINUES TO PUSH 
DOWN THE CALIFORNIA COAST TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST U.S. AN 
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WATERS W OF THE 
NORTHERN BAJA COAST THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY 
FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW AND NW SWELL REACHING 8 TO 15 FT 
IN HEIGHT N OF 20N THROUGH THE WEEKEND. RESIDENT HIGH PRES N OF 
20N IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING 
FRONT...ALLOWING FRESH TRADE WIND FLOW FURTHER S...FROM 05N TO 
20N...TO DIMINISH ACCORDINGLY. A 04Z ASCAT SHOWED THAT WINDS ARE 
STILL ACTIVE ALONG THE CENTRAL BAJA COAST ON THE WEST SIDE OF 
THE HIGH PRES. 

E OF 110W...FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WIND FLOW OVER THE SW 
CARIBBEAN WILL ENHANCE GAP WIND FLOW THROUGH THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO BY TONIGHT TO AROUND 20 KT IN MOSTLY THE OVERNIGHT AND 
EARLY MORNING HOURS. OTHERWISE GENERALLY LIGHT WIND FLOW WILL 
PERSIST OVER THE AREA E OF 110W THROUGH 48 HOURS.

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE NORTHERN 
GULF OVERNIGHT. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL INCREASE TO 20 KT BY 
EARLY SUN...WITH SEAS REMAINING BELOW 8 FT.

$$
CHRISTENSEN