000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240929
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC MON JAN 24 2011

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS ALONG 03N77W TO 03N110W TO 09N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT 
CONVECTION.

...DISCUSSION...

1027 MB HIGH PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 36N137W WITH SURFACE RIDGE 
EXTENDING SE TO 15N111W. THERE IS A SMALL AREA OF 20 KT TRADES 
FROM FROM 10N TO 15N W OF 132W. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN 
NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS...MAINTAINING A SMALL 
AREA OF FRESH TRADES. PRES GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF 
HIGH PRES OVER THE GREAT BASIN REGION AND A TROUGH OVER MEXICO 
IS SUPPORTING STRONG N WINDS IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. 
HIGH PRES OVER THE GREAT BASIN REGION WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS 
AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKEN THROUGH TUE. WINDS OVER THE GULF OF 
CALIFORNIA WILL DIMINISH BELOW 20 KT LATE TONIGHT.

LONG PERIOD NW SWELL CONTINUES TO PROPAGATE SE ACROSS THE AREA. 
CURRENTLY...8 TO 11 FT SEAS PREVAIL W OF 109W. THIS SWELL WILL 
CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SE...WITH 8 TO 10 FT SEAS PREVAILING OVER 
MUCH OF THE AREA W OF 92W BY TUE NIGHT. 

GAP WINDS...
FRESH E WINDS TO 20 KT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO  
THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OCCURRING THIS MORNING WITH 
THE HELP OF NOCTURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW.

FRESH N WINDS TO 20 KT OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA ARE EXPECTED TO 
PREVAIL THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING BELOW 20 KT TUE.

$$
MUNDELL