000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020912
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC MON AUG 02 2010

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...ITCZ...
AXIS ALONG 09N84W TO 08N90W TO 10N100W TO 07N110W TO 11N134W TO 
10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE 
OF AXIS E OF 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 
60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W AND 98W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF 
AXIS BETWEEN 121W AND 127W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 
60 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 136W. 


...DISCUSSION...
COMPLEX UPPER LEVEL PATTERN N OF 10N HAS MIXED ARRAY OF CYCLONES 
AND ANTICYCLONES WITH WINDS ALOFT MEANDERING AMONG GYRES AS 
CLOSE AS 8-10 DEG DISTANCE FROM EACH OTHER. IN THE DEEP TROPICS 
S OF 10N NE-E FLOW PREVAILS. 

AT THE SURFACE...WEAK LOW PRES SYSTEM NEAR 19N116W EARLIER HAS 
WEAKENED TO A TROUGH AS CONFIRMED BY LATEST ASCAT PASS. LOW PRES 
1008 MB IS CENTERED NEAR 10N101W. LATEST ASCAT PASS PASSED OVER 
THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE...WITH 20 KT S TO SW WINDS FROM 03N TO 
10N BETWEEN 94W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS FOUND WITHIN 150 NM SW QUADRANT. SOUTHERLY SWELLS 
ARE AFFECTING THE REGION S OF 10N WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TODAY 
AND MON.

$$
AL