000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030921
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION    
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC TUE APR 3 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...ITCZ...
AXIS 7N78W 6N90W 6N120W 3N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 
60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND 124W.

...DISCUSSION...
AT UPPER LEVELS A N-S RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 126W AND A TROUGH EXTENDS 
FROM 32N107W TO 12N113W. AN E-W RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 7N...E OF 100W. 
SOUTHERN BRANCH OF SUBTROPICAL JET BEGINS NEAR BASE OF THE TROUGH 
AND EXTENDS ACROSS MEXICO INTO THE NW GULF OF MEXICO. A FEW CLUSTERS 
OF SPOTTY CONVECTION ARE EVIDENT ALONG THE ITCZ AXIS E OF 95W.

A 1021 MB HIGH NEAR 31N127W IS THE PRIMARY SURFACE FEATURE. SFC RIDGE
EXTENDS SE OF HIGH TO W COAST OF MEXICO. WINDS REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT...
WITH A SMALL AREA OF 20 KT WINDS ANALYZED NEAR THE COAST OF NICARAGUA
INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. 

FORECAST MODELS SHOW VERY LITTLE CHANGE OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS. A
WEAKENING COLD FRONT IN EXTREME NW PORTION OF AREA WILL BRIEFLY BRING
SWELLS ABOVE 10 FT IN THE 3-4 DAY TIMEFRAME.

$$
MUNDELL