000
AXPZ20 KNHC 171546
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION     
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SAT FEB 17 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1445 UTC.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS ALONG 1N80W 5N110W 1N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE 60 NM WIDE 88W TO 94W.
. 

...DISCUSSION...
UPPER AIR..
A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 25N125W IS MOVING NE 15-20 KT WITH A 
TROUGH TO 20N117W. A STRONG E-W RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W 
CARIBBEAN TO 10N110W. TROPICAL MOISTURE IS BEING ADVECTED INTO 
MEXICO AND THE SW U.S. OF A. BY THE FLOW OF THE TWO SYSTEMS. A 
SECOND TROUGH JUST NW OF THE AREA IS MOVING ESE ABOUT 20 KT.

SURFACE EVENTS...
STRONG WLY FLOW JUST NW OF THE AREA. A GALE CONDITION EXISTS IN 
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 
16N94.5W 13N96W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 
CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR 48 HOURS.
OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO IN 48 HOURS...FROM 8N TO 14N BETWEEN 
85W AND 93W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AND GULF OF 
FONSECA...NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 

$$
FET