477 
AXNT20 KNHC 020838
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Jun 2 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0830 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The tropical wave that had been analyzed near 25W has been removed
from the surface map as energy associated with the wave had been
dispersed northward by a trough to the west of the wave. A new
tropical wave has been added to the surface map with axis analyzed
near 15W, S of 15N, and moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered 
moderate convection is noted from 03N to 13N between 10W and 20W. 

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... 

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Africa
near 13N17W and extends SW to near 07N27W. The ITCZ continues from
07N27W and extends to 03N51W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted within 30 nm either side of the ITCZ. 

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak stationary front extends from central Florida to the north
central Gulf. Moderate winds are found N and W of the Yucatan
peninsula. Light to gentle winds are elsewhere across the Gulf. 
Seas are in the 1-3 ft range. 

For the forecast, the front will dissipate today. Moderate to 
fresh E to NE winds are expected each afternoon and evening north 
of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the eastern Bay of Campeche as a
trough develops daily and moves westward. Elsewhere, gentle to 
moderate breezes and slight seas are expected across most of the 
Gulf through the early part of the week. Expect moderate to fresh 
SE winds and building seas across the western and south- central 
Gulf Tue through Fri between a trough over northern Mexico and 
high pressure over the Carolinas. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A ridge of high pressure extends across the Atlantic waters N of
the Caribbean. The pressure gradient between the area of high
pressure and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds
over the waters E of 79W. Moderate winds are noted elsewhere. Seas
are in the 7-9 ft range E of 79W, and 4-6 ft elsewhere. 

For the forecast, fresh to strong E winds and moderate to rough 
seas will expand across most of the Caribbean through Fri. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

The tropical and subtropical Atlantic waters N of 20N are
dominated by high pressure, anchored by a 1033 mb high centered
near 37N40W. Weak troughing is over the waters N of 22N near 50W.
Gentle to moderate winds dominate the waters N of 20N, where seas
are generally in the 3-6 ft range. Over the waters S of 20N,
moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft prevail W of 35W. Light
to gentle winds, and seas of 4-6 ft are found S of 20N and E of 
35W. 

For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move into the 
region between northeast Florida and Bermuda Tue. The front will 
dissipate southeast of Bermuda through mid week. High pressure 
will build in the wake of the front with fresh to strong winds off
the north coast of Hispaniola late Wed and Thu. 

$$
AL