000
AXNT20 KNHC 021630
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Apr 2 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1630 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Meteo-France Gale Warning: Meteo-France forecasts gale-force NW
winds from 12 UTC through 21 UTC on April 2 for the areas of
Madeira and Canarias. Rough to very rough seas will likely 
accompany these winds.

For more details, refer 
to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on their website 
https://wwwmiws.wmo.int

...MONSOON TROUGH/INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE... 

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic Ocean near 11N16W and
extends southwestward to 01N24W. The ITCZ extends from 01N24W to 
near 01S42W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 02S to
04N between 13W and 27W. Similar convection is depicted from 05S 
to 05N between 30W and 44W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

The subtropical ridge extends from the western Atlantic through 
the central Gulf. This pattern is supporting fresh to strong SE  
winds and moderate seas mainly W of 85W. Moderate winds and 
slight to moderate seas are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast, fresh to strong SE winds will increase to near-
gale on Thu west of 85W. These winds will support building rough 
seas in this region through the end of the week. East of 85W, 
moderate SE winds will strengthen to fresh to strong speeds Wed 
into Thu, including the Florida Straits. The next front is 
expected to enter the NW Gulf by Sat night, moving SE while 
weakening on Sun. Strong winds and rough seas will prevail in the 
wake of the front on Sun. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between strong high pressure north of the 
area and a 1009 mb over northern Colombia is supporting strong to
near-gale trade winds off northeastern Colombia, in the Gulf of 
Venezuela and off central Honduras. Moderate to fresh trade winds 
are noted elsewhere. Rough seas are noted off Colombia and the 
south- central Caribbean, and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, strong to near-gale NE winds and rough to very 
rough seas offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela will 
prevail through the weekend. Fresh to strong E to SE winds in the 
Gulf of Honduras will increase to near-gale force speeds, with 
rough seas beginning on Thu and continue through the weekend. 
Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trade winds will strengthen with 
building rough seas dominating the basin Thu into the weekend. 
Large E swell will impact the tropical Atlantic waters and 
Caribbean Passages most of the week, maintaining rough seas. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
effect for Meteo-France area. 

The Atlantic basin is dominated by 1029 mb high pressure centered
near 33N42W, with the subtropical ridge axis extending westward 
toward central Florida. A complex low northeast of the Azores is 
supporting moderate to fresh NW to N winds and rough seas north 
of 22N and east of 40W. Elsewhere, this pattern is supporting 
fresh trade winds and 8 to 10 ft seas across the tropical Atlantic
south of 22N, and gentle to moderate breezes and 5 to 7 ft seas 
north of 25N and west of 40W.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will build across the
area. The building high will support fresh to strong E to SE 
winds and rough seas across the waters south of 25N, including 
through the Atlantic Passages into the Caribbean. 

$$ KRV