000 AXNT20 KNHC 240830 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1215 UTC Mon Mar 24 2025 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0830 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between an Atlantic high pressure ridge and the Colombian low is supporting strong to gale force winds off the coast of Colombia, where seas are peaking near 14 ft. Winds and seas will diminish today. Another pulse of gale force winds are expected offshore of Colombia tonight, with seas building to 13 ft late tonight in the area of strongest winds. Winds will diminish below gale force Tuesday morning, with strong to near gale force winds then pulsing off Colombia through at least midweek. Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at the website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for more details. Gale Warning E of 35W: the pressure gradient between high pressure located near the Azores and lower pressures in NW Africa supports near gale force NE to N winds in the Agadir marine zone of Meteo- France. Winds over these waters are forecast to increase to gale- force today as the high shifts eastward. Seas are expected to increase to 10 to 13 ft during this period. For more details, refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic near 08N12W and continues southward to 01N29W. The ITCZ extends from 01N29W to coastal Brazil near 02S40W. Scattered clusters of moderate to strong convection are noted from the equator to 06N between 08W and 23W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A surface trough is over the SW Gulf just west of the Yucatan peninsula. High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf. The pressure gradient between these features is supporting fresh to locally strong winds NW of the Yucatan peninsula. Seas of 4-5 ft are noted over these waters. Over the NE Gulf, Light winds and seas of 2 ft or less prevail. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 2-4 ft are elsewhere. For the forecast, high pressure will prevail over the Gulf, supporting moderate to locally fresh S to SE winds over the western and central Gulf, and gentle to moderate winds in the eastern basin into mid-week. A surface trough will develop over the Yucatan Peninsula and move into the Bay of Campeche nightly through early this week, supporting pulses of fresh to locally strong winds over adjacent waters. The next cold front will skirt the NE Gulf with little impact tonight into Tue. High pressure building into the basin in its wake will lead to moderate to fresh SE winds and building seas across the NW Gulf by Thu. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... A Gale Warning is in effect offshore Colombia. Please, refer to the Special Features section above for more information. Aside from the area of gale force winds off Colombia, fresh to near gale winds, and seas of 8-12 ft, are over the Central Caribbean. Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 6-7 ft are over the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 4-7 ft, prevail elsewhere. For the forecast, fresh to strong E to NE winds offshore of Colombia and Venezuela will pulse to gale force offshore of Colombia tonight, with nightly pulses to near gale likely through at least mid-week. Fresh to occasionally strong NE winds will pulse in the Windward Passage tonight. Fresh to strong SE winds will extend across the Gulf of Honduras into mid- week. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A Gale Warning is in effect for the Agadir marine zone of Meteo- France.. Please, refer to the Special Features section above for more information. A surface trough extends from 31N48W to 22N56W. Light to gentle winds, with seas of 7 to locally 8 ft are in the vicinity of the trough. High pressure dominates the remainder of the Atlantic discussion waters. Light to gentle winds, and seas of 2-5 ft, are W of the trough. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft, cover the remainder of the discussion waters. For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure over the western Atlantic will support gentle breezes and slight to moderate seas north of 22N early this week. The area of high pressure will shift eastward today enabling a weak cold front to move off the northeast Florida coast tonight. Fresh to locally strong winds are likely to pulse off the northern coast of Hispaniola into mid week. Another cold front may move into waters between northeast Florida and Bermuda Wed. $$ AL