000 AXNT20 KNHC 250810 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1215 UTC Tue Feb 25 2025 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0810 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Atlantic Gale Warning: A low pressure system over southern Florida will track NE and intensify today before moving N of 31N by late tonight. The low will drag a cold front across the western Atlantic. Strong to gale force southerly winds and active convection will prevail ahead of the front and low through Wed morning. The strongest winds are expected NE of the Bahamas, particularly N of 27N between 65W and 72W. Seas will likely build to 12 to 14 ft within these winds. Please, read the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center, at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for more information. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from 06.5N11W to 02N20W. The ITCZ continues from 02N20W to 00N50W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06S to 01N between 20W and 45W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... Low pressure is moving across southern Florida, with high pressure building into the western Gulf. Moderate to fresh winds prevail E of 91W, with gentle winds W of 91W. Seas are in the 4-7 ft range E of 91W, and 3-5 ft W of 91W. For the forecast, weak high pressure will settle over the north- central waters through Wed night leading to tranquil marine conditions across the basin. A cold front will enter the NW Gulf Thu morning and sweep across the basin through Fri. Fresh northerly winds in the wake of the front will become light to gentle northeast to east winds on Fri afternoon as high pressure settles over the north- central Gulf. The high center will shift to the NE Gulf Sat night. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... A cold front is over the NW Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 4-5 ft, prevail W of the front. Fresh to strong winds are over the south central Caribbean, with moderate to fresh winds over the remainder of the central and eastern Caribbean. Light to gentle winds are noted elsewhere. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range E of 80W, and 2-4 ft elsewhere. For the forecast, high pressure across the western Atlantic will shift eastward through Wed allowing for trade winds to diminish slightly across the basin. The cold front will stall and dissipate from eastern Cuba to eastern Honduras by early Wed. Fresh to strong winds offshore Colombia will diminish today, then strengthen again toward the end of the week. Mainly moderate to locally fresh winds will prevail elsewhere in the central and eastern Caribbean through the middle of the week, as well as the Tropical N Atlantic. Winds will briefly become fresh to locally strong over the southeast portion tonight. These winds will gradually expand in coverage through Sat night. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A Gale Warning is in effect for areas NE of the Bahamas. Please, see the Special Features section for more details. Low pressure is over southern Florida, with a stationary front extending NE to 31N72W. Numerous moderate and isolated strong convection cover much of the waters N of 23N and W of 65W. Fresh to strong winds are SE of the stationary front, with moderate to locally fresh winds elsewhere W of 55W. Fresh to strong winds are also west of Africa to near 30W and N of 12N. Light to gentle winds are elsewhere N of 25N, with moderate to fresh winds noted elsewhere. Seas are in the 8-10 ft range N of 10N and E of 50W, and 4-7 ft elsewhere. For the forecast aside from the area of low pressure and associated gale force winds, by late Wed night, marine conditions will improve under a weak pressure pattern. The next cold front is expected to move offshore the southeastern United States Thu night, reach from near 31N73W to eastern Cuba early Fri and from near 31N65W to NW Haiti Fri night. Fresh to near gale winds are expected on either side of the front N of about 27N Fri. High pressure will settle over the western part of the area Sat and Sat night allowing for generally calm conditions over most of the area. $$ AL