000 AXNT20 KNHC 291753 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1805 UTC Mon May 29 2023 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1710 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... An Atlantic Ocean is along 16W/17W, from 11N southward, moving westward 10 knots. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is between 10W and 20W. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 30W/31W, from 12N southward, moving westward from 10 knots to 15 knots. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is between 20W and the 30W/31W tropical wave. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 43W, from 11N southward, moving westward 10 knots. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is between the 30W/31W tropical and the 43W tropical wave. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 56W/57W, from 11N southward, moving westward 10 knots. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is between the 43W tropical and the 56W/57W tropical wave. A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 68W/69W, from 14N southward, moving westward 10 knots. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is from 15N southward between 64W and 71W. A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 64W/65W, from 14N southward, moving westward from 5 knots to 10 knots, through eastern Venezuela. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is from 16N southward between 62W and 70W. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough from Africa into the Atlantic Ocean is broken up by the 16W/17W tropical wave. The monsoon trough is along 09N18W 06N23W. The ITCZ continues from 06N23W, to 04N29W and 04N40W. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is elsewhere from 13N southward from 60W eastward. ...GULF OF MEXICO... The surface pressure pattern is weak. A 1016 mb high pressure center is about 95 nm to the south of coastal Alabama. Light to gentle winds are in the NE Gulf. Gentle to moderate easterly winds are in the rest of the Gulf of Mexico. the sea heights are reaching 2 feet from the waters that are offshore the middle Texas Gulf coast, into the south central Gulf, into the SW corner of the area. The sea heights are reaching 3 feet offshore Louisiana. The sea heights are reaching 1 foot elsewhere. Broad surface low pressure is from 27N southward from 90W westward. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is from 87W westward. Rainshowers are possible elsewhere. A weak pressure pattern will support gentle to moderate winds and slight seas across the basin through the end of the week, with occasional fresh pulses along the W coast of Yucatan. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for the period that ended at 29/1200 UTC, are: 1.08 in Montego Bay in Jamaica, and 0.78 in Trinidad, according to the Pan American Temperature and Precipitation Tables, MIATPTPAN. The monsoon trough passes through 09N74W in Colombia, beyond 11N in Costa Rica. Precipitation: scattered strong is from 13N southward between 77W and 82W. Isolated moderate to locally strong is spread throughout the rest of the Caribbean Sea. Moderate E to SE winds are from 70W eastward. Fresh SE winds are within 180 nm to the east of the 68W/69W tropical wave, and within 120 nm to the west of the 68W/69W tropical wave, from 14N southward. Moderate E winds are from the Greater Antilles southward between 70W and 80W. Gentle wind speeds are elsewhere. The sea heights range from 3 feet to 4 feet from 80W eastward. An exception is for sea heights of 6 feet offshore Santa Marta in Colombia. The sea heights are reaching 1 foot elsewhere. An exception is for sea heights of 2 feet offshore La Ceiba in Honduras. A weak pressure pattern will maintain gentle to moderate trades across the Caribbean and the tropical N Atlantic through the end of week, with occasional fresh pulses along the N coast of Venezuela and Colombia and off Honduras. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A stationary front is along 31N72W 29N77W, beyond SE Georgia at 31N. Precipitation: isolated to widely scattered moderate, and isolated to locally strong, is from 20N northward from 60W westward. 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for the period that ended at 29/1200 UTC, are: 1.74 in Nassau in the Bahamas, 0.05 in Freeport in the Bahamas, and 0.01 in Bermuda, according to the Pan American Temperature and Precipitation Tables, MIATPTPAN. Cyclonic moderate and gentle winds, with some fresh winds, are from 26N northward from 70W westward. Moderate and slower wind speeds are elsewhere from 26N southward from 70W westward. A surface ridge passes through 31N14W, across the Canary Islands, to a 1020 mb high pressure center that is near 25N26W, to a second 1020 mb high pressure center that is near 25N40W, to the northern half of the Bahamas. Broad and gentle anticyclonic wind flow covers the Atlantic Ocean that is from 16N northward. A frontal boundary is along 31N between 38W and 70W. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is from 26N northward between 20W and 60W. Strong SW winds are from 30N northward between 33W and 42W. Fresh SW winds are elsewhere from 28N northward between 30W and 45W. Moderate SW winds are in the remainder of the area that is from 27N northward between 20W and 47W, and from 28N northward between 47W and 56W. Gentle anticyclonic wind flow covers the rest of the Atlantic Ocean that is from 20N northward from 70W eastward. Moderate NE winds cover much of the Atlantic Ocean that is from 20N southward. Some exceptions are for: fresh winds that are from 13N to 20N from 28W eastward; from 06N to 10N between 26W and 34W; and from 13N southward between 50W and 56W. The sea heights range from 6 feet to 9 feet from 10W eastward. The sea heights are 2 feet or less in the areas of the Bahamas. The sea heights range from 3 feet to 5 feet elsewhere. A weak pressure pattern will result in quiescent conditions through Fri. A surface trough may form east of Florida on Thu and Fri. $$ mt/cl