000
AXNT20 KNHC 010850
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1205 UTC Mon May 1 2023

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0850 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough passes through the coastal plains of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W to 03S22W. The ITCZ continues from 
03N22W to 01S42W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted south of 08N and east of 18W. Scattered moderate convection
is noted south of 05N between 32W and 50W. 

GULF OF MEXICO...

High pressure is centered over the Gulf waters near 24N91W. Light
to gentle winds are in the vicinity of the high center. Gentle to
moderate anticyclonic wind flow prevails elsewhere. Seas are in 
the 6-8 ft range in lingering NW swell over the SE Gulf, 5-6 ft 
over the NE Gulf, and 2-4 ft over the western Gulf.

For the forecast, high pressure will build across the area and 
become centered over the eastern Gulf through Wed. Fresh winds 
will pulse across the Bay of Campeche each night through the 
forecast period.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A cold front is over the NW Caribbean, with moderate winds west of
the front. Moderate to fresh winds are found over the waters wast
of 75W. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the
5-6 ft range west of the front, 4-6 ft over the area of moderate
to fresh winds, and 2-4 ft elsewhere.  

For the forecast, the cold front will dissipate by Tue. Fresh to 
strong winds will develop offshore of Colombia tonight and 
continue through the week.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from 31N72W to W Central Cuba. The gale force
winds east of the front have diminished, with strong to near- gale
force winds N of 28N within 120 nm east of the front. Fresh to 
strong winds are found elsewhere N of 25N within 180 nm east of 
the front. Fresh to locally strong winds are west of the front. 
Seas of 8-12 ft are found N of 27N and W of 65W. A dissipating 
frontal boundary extends from 31N26W to 22N43W. Moderate winds are
N of 28N and west of the front to 50W, with seas in the 8-9 ft 
range. Moderate winds are found elsewhere W of 60W as well as S of
15N and W of 35W. Light to gentle winds cover the remainder of 
the forecast waters N of 15N and W of 30W. Moderate to fresh 
winds are found E of 30W. Outside of the area of seas greater than
8 ft, seas of 5-7 ft are found N of 20N, and 4-6 ft S of 20N. 

For the forecast W of 55W, fresh to strong winds will prevail in 
the vicinity of the front to the N of 28N today. The front will 
gradually weaken and dissipate on Tue. The next front, weaker in 
intensity, will move across the northern waters by mid- week. 

$$
AL