000 AXNT20 KNHC 241820 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1805 UTC Mon May 24 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1600 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Gale Warning: Meteo-France forecasts north to northeast gales to strong gales to continue in the the Agadir region through at least 25/06 UTC. Seas are expected to be rough to very rough in this area. See the High Seas Warning and High Seas Forecast products from Meteo France at weather.gmdss.org/II.html for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coast of Guinea near 10N14W to 07N18W. The ITCZ continues from 07N18W to 0351W at the coast of Brazil. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted south of 07N east of 18W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring between 04N and 08N west of 38W. GULF OF MEXICO... A trough stretches across the eastern Bay of Campeche from 24N89W to 19N93W. Scattered moderate convection is between 22N and 25N between 90W and 95W. Otherwise, a high pressure ridge northeast of the Gulf with moderate to fresh winds noted across the basin with light winds in the SW and NE Gulf. Seas range 3 to 6 ft. The ridge will dominate the Gulf waters during the next several days. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds can be expected through Tue night and then gentle to moderate winds the remainder of the forecast period. Fresh to strong winds will pulse nightly off the Yucatan peninsula tonight through Fri night. CARIBBEAN SEA... Scattered moderate to strong convection is near the monsoon trough in the SW Caribbean S of 12N west of 78W. Strong trade winds are noted in the south-central Caribbean with moderate to fresh winds elsewhere. Seas are up to 8 ft near Colombia with 5 to 7 ft across the rest of the basin. Fresh to strong trades will prevail across the south-central and portions of the southwest Caribbean as well as across the Windward Passage through Wed night. This is due to a ridge extension of the Azores high into the northern Caribbean and strong high pressure over the northwest Atlantic. Moderate to locally fresh winds are expected to dominate the central and eastern portions of the basin through the remaining forecast period. In the northwest Caribbean, fresh winds will dominate the region through early Wed evening with fresh to strong winds pulsing at night in the Gulf of Honduras. ATLANTIC OCEAN... See the Special Features section above for details on the gale warning near Agadir. A trough extends from 31N55W to 24N62W. Scattered moderate convection exists within 300 NM east of the trough axis. High pressure extends off the western Atlantic anchored by a 1023 mb high near 28N77W. Moderate to fresh winds are noted S of 25N between 70W to 80W. Otherwise, gentle winds prevail across the western Atlantic with seas 4 to 6 ft. High pressure also extends across the central and eastern Atlantic anchored by a 1034 mb high near the Azores. This is supporting gale force winds near Agadir. Moderate to fresh winds are noted across this area of the Atlantic with fresh to strong north-northeasterly winds off the Morocco and Western Sahara coast. Seas 6 to 8 ft are noted in the central Atlantic with 10 to 15 ft off the western African coast. For west of 65W, the ridge of high pressure will dominate the forecast region over the next several days producing moderate to fresh easterly winds S of 25N and gentle to moderate E winds from 25N to 27N. Light and variable winds will prevail elsewhere. For east of 65W, the strong breeze to strong gale N to NE winds north of 23N and east of 20W will steadily diminish over the next two days. By Wednesday night, winds will be moderate or weaker in the area. Elsewhere little change in the tradewinds for the next few days. The large seas near NW Africa will also steadily diminish and drop below 8 ft by Wednesday night. Elsewhere seas will remain generally 4 to 7 ft. $$ Landsea