000 AXNT20 KNHC 061005 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1205 UTC Sat Feb 6 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0930 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... ...GALE-FORCE WINDS FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA... Gale force NE to E winds will diminish some later this morning, but pulse again tonight and again Sun night as a tight pressure gradient between lower pressure over South America and high pressure building toward the NE Caribbean enhances trade winds. Please, refer to the following website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Sierra Leone near 07N12W to 04N20W. The ITCZ continues from 04N20W to 02N30W and 01N38W. Precipitation: scattered strong is from 03N to 07N between 10W and 12W. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 07N between 10W and 24W. GULF OF MEXICO... A slow-moving cold front extends from just north of Tampa Bay, Florida to 27N90W to near Tampico, Mexico. Scattered moderate convection is located N of the front, to the E of 90W. A surface trough over the western Bay of Campeche is not producing any sensible weather at this time. Fresh NE winds are occurring N of the cold front, otherwise gentle to moderate winds prevail over the basin, with seas of 3 to 6 ft. The cold front will stall later this morning, retreat northward as a warm front this afternoon, then be reinforced by a secondary cold front surge in tonight. By late Sun, this combined front will stall from near Fort Myers, Florida, to the eastern Bay of Campeche. This front will then lift northward as a warm front Mon and move N of the area Mon night. Moist southerly flow may allow areas of fog across the northwest and north central Gulf early next week. CARIBBEAN SEA... See Special Features Section above for details on pulsing gale conditions N of Colombia. High pressure to the north is keeping dry conditions in place with generally fresh to strong trades prevailing. Sea range from 5 to 8 ft. High pressure building north of the Caribbean Sea will support fresh to strong trade winds over the south central Caribbean into the middle of next mid week. Winds will pulse to gale force nightly into early next week off the coast of Colombia. ATLANTIC OCEAN... The stationary front that was located from near 32N50W to the Dominican Republic has devolved into a surface trough. This trough will weaken and dissipate today. Scattered moderate convection is noted along the trough N of 30N. High pressure dominates the Atlantic on either side of the front, with a 1030 mb center located SW of the Azores and a 1026 high near 33N55W. Winds throughout the basin are mainly moderate to fresh out of the NE to E. Decaying swell S of 20N is producing seas of 8 to 11 ft, with seas of 6 to 8 ft to the north. A cold front has emerged off the SE U.S. coast from 32N77W to near Daytona Beach, Florida. Scattered moderate convection is located within 60 nm of either side of this boundary. Ahead of the front, W of 65W and This cold front will stall through tonight in the far NW waters, then be replaced by a slightly stronger cold front Sun. Ahead of this second front, strong S winds will redevelop N of 28N. This front will move SE then stall from near Bermuda to around Fort Lauderdale, Florida early next week, then gradually lift N.N of 38N, fresh to strong S winds are occurring. $$ KONARIK