000 AXNT20 KNHC 071014 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1205 UTC Thu Jan 7 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0930 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Gulf of Mexico Gale Warning: A cold front spilling south through the western Gulf if being followed by by strong N winds. Gales will develop today offshore Veracruz, then diminish to fresh to strong tonight. Seas will peak up to around 10 ft this afternoon. Please, read the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center, at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for more details. East Atlantic Gale Warning: A powerful low pressure centered around 31N21W will continue to produce a broad area of gales between the Azores and Canary Islands. These gale conditions will continue to impact the METEO FRANCE areas of Irving, Madeira, and Agadir and also affect portions of Meteor and Canarias later today. For Friday, gales will prevail over portions of Madeira, Canarias, Adadir, and Tarfaya. Please, refer to the following website, http://www.gmdss.org/bulletins/METAREA2.HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST.0901. 070911855954.html for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal border sections of Sierra Leone near 08N13W to 07N15W. The ITCZ continues from 07N15W to 06N20W, 04N30W, 03N40W, and 02N46W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 01N to 09N W of 30W. GULF OF MEXICO... Please see Special Features section above information on a gale warning for portions of the SW Gulf of Mexico. A cold front extends from central Louisiana to S of Tampico, Mexico. A band of numerous moderate to scattered strong convection is located along and within 60 nm ahead of the front. N winds of 20 to 30 kt extend behind this front, with fresh S winds ahead of it, N of 27N. Elsewhere in the basin, gentle to moderate SE winds prevail. The cold front will spread SE through tonight, then exit the basin early Fri. This will bring a surge of NW winds and seas of 7 to 9 ft to most areas, with gales today offshore Veracruz, Mexico. High pressure will build over the Gulf in the wake of the front with moderate winds prevailing through Sat. The next cold front will push off the Texas coast Sun night and bring strong NW winds across the basin once again on Mon. Gales are forecast again offshore Veracruz Mon. CARIBBEAN SEA... A stationary front stretches from eastern Cuba to the Mexico- Belize border. This front will dissipate later today. Scattered moderate convection exists within 90 nm N of the front, with light to gentle winds N of the front and overall moderate trades over the remainder of the basin. A cluster of moderate convection is noted within 150 nm S of Haiti, otherwise no significant shower or thunderstorm activity is located in the Caribbean. Seas average 4 to 7 ft, highest in the south-central basin. The monsoon trough extends from northern Colombia near 11N73W, across southern sections of Panama, and into the eastern Pacific Ocean. Convection previously associated with this trough has diminished overnight. Generally moderate trades will prevail over the basin through late week, with nightly pulses of strong winds expected off the Colombia coast. A stationary front from eastern Cuba to near Tulum, Mexico will dissipate this morning. A cold front will enter the Yucatan Channel tonight and linger in the NW Caribbean through the weekend. Fresh to strong trade winds can be expected toward the end of the weekend and into early next week for the central and eastern Caribbean. ATLANTIC OCEAN... Please see Special Features section above for information on gale conditions in the far eastern Atlantic. A cold front passes from 32N48W to 24N60W into eastern Cuba. The cold front is weakening, and convection previously associated with it has dissipated overnight. To the east, a 1019 mb high pressure centered near 20N45W is keeping winds N of it light to gentle with moderate to locally fresh trades prevail. Widespread N swell dominates the waters E of 60W, with seas of 10 to 14 ft peaking around 30N35W. The aforementioned cold front will dissipate by Fri. The next cold front will move off the coast early Fri morning, bringing a broad area of strong to near gale- force winds on both sides of it N of 26N through Sat night. By Mon, winds will shift to the southeast ahead of the next system. $$ KONARIK