024 AXNT20 KNHC 260537 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0605 UTC Thu Nov 26 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0510 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... The extended forecast, for 24 hours after the initial forecast period, for the METEO-FRANCE high seas forecast, consists of the threat of near gale or gale-force winds in the area that is called: MADEIRA. Please, read the webpage: http://www.gmdss.org/bulletins/METAREA2.HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST.2120.2 52120061918.html, for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the northern coastal sections of Sierra Leone near 08N13W, to 07N17W. The ITCZ continues from 07N17W, to 07N30W, 06N37W, and to 05N44W. Precipitation: Scattered to numerous strong is from 02N to 06N between 02W and 04W. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is from 02N to 13N between 30W and 43W. Isolated moderate to locally strong is elsewhere from 10N southward from 20W eastward, and from 13N southward from 45W westward. GULF OF MEXICO... Upper level anticyclonic wind flow covers the Gulf of Mexico, within 270 nm to the north and northwest of Cuba and southern Mexico. Upper level SW wind flow covers the rest of the Gulf of Mexico. A cold front is passing through south central Louisiana, to the deep south of Texas. No significant deep convective precipitation is apparent in satellite imagery, with the front. A surface ridge passes through central Florida, into the central Gulf of Mexico, to the coastal plains of Mexico near 20N along 96W/97W. A weak cold front in the NW Gulf of Mexico will stall, and move northward on Thursday. A strong cold front will move into the NW Gulf of Mexico waters on Sunday morning. Fresh to strong northerly winds will be spreading across the basin. CARIBBEAN SEA... Upper level anticyclonic wind flow spans the Caribbean Sea, from Hispaniola westward. A middle level inverted trough covers Central America, from Panama to Nicaragua, to the Yucatan Peninsula. Precipitation: Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is to the west of the line that runs from 10N75W, to 16N81W, to SE Cuba. Earlier scattered to numerous strong, that was covering parts of Nicaragua, Honduras, and El Salvador, has weakened and dissipated, and it has moved westward, toward the coastal waters of the eastern Pacific Ocean. The monsoon trough is along 09N/11N from 73W in northern Colombia, southwestward, beyond southern Costa Rica, into the eastern Pacific Ocean. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is from 13N southward from 72W westward. This area also is being covered by the middle level inverted trough that is spanning Central America. High pressure to the north of the region will increase the wind speeds and the sea heights in the central Caribbean Sea through Thursday. Moderate to fresh trade winds will prevail across most of the area from Thursday night through Sunday. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A 1016 mb low pressure center is near 31N56W. A cold front extends from the 31N56W low pressure center, to 25N55W and 20N59W. A second 1016 mb low pressure center is near 25N63W. A surface trough curves from the 31N56W low pressure center, to 28N61W, to the 25N63W low pressure center. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is within 300 nm to the east of the cold front from 21N northward. Broken to overcast multilayered clouds and other rainshowers are within 700 nm to the east of the cold front, from 20N northward. Fresh to locally strong NE winds, associated with high pressure across the western Atlantic Ocean, will prevail across most of the region, through early Thursday. Northerly swell behind the front will impact the Atlantic Ocean waters and local passages through Friday. $$ mt