000 AXNT20 KNHC 241058 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by National Weather Service Miami FL 658 AM EDT Thu Sep 24 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0710 UTC. CORRECTED THE CARIBBEAN SEA SECTION AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN SECTION ...SPECIAL FEATURES... None. ...TROPICAL WAVES... An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 33W, from 18N southward, moving W 10 to 15 knots. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is from 09N to 15N between 30W and 38W. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 44W, from 18N southward, moving W 10 to 15 knots. Precipitation: isolated moderate is within 240 nm on either side of the tropical wave, from 16N southward. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W, to 10N20W, and 06N33W. The ITCZ continues from 06N33W, to 06N40W, and to 05N51W. Precipitation: scattered to numerous strong is from 10N to 14N between 14W and 18W, in the coastal plains and in the coastal waters. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is from 06N to 12N between 18W and 27W. GULF OF MEXICO... The remnants of Tropical Storm Beta will be over Louisiana and Mississippi, but will have no weather influence on area waters. A weak cold front extends from the low pressure associated with the remnants to around 25N93W. Precipitation inland: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is within 120 nm of the weak cold front. Other precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is to the east of the line that runs from the Florida Panhandle to the coast of Mexico near 20N96W. A stationary front previously in the Gulf has dissipated, but its remnants will lift north as a surfamtce trough over the next few days in the eastern Gulf of Mexico. CARIBBEAN SEA... A stationary front passes through 22N70W in the Atlantic Ocean, cutting across Cuba, to 25N86W in the SE Gulf of Mexico. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is from 18N to the stationary front between 60W and Hispaniola. Isolated to widely scattered moderate and isolated to locally strong is in the interior and coastal waters areas of Cuba. The monsoon trough is along 10N/12N, from 73W in northern Colombia beyond Costa Rica, into the eastern Pacific Ocean. The GFS model for 250 mb, and the water vapor satellite imagery, show a trough that extends from the south central Caribbean Sea, toward the SW corner of the Caribbean Sea and central Panama. Precipitation: isolated to widely scattered moderate and isolated to locally strong is from 15N southward from 70W westward. Northerly swell previously generated by Hurricane Teddy and an early season cold front in the western Atlantic will continue through Atlantic waters and Caribbean passages through this evening. Mainly moderate trade winds will dominate the basin through the forecast period, with the exception of fresh, possibly locally strong, winds near the coast of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. ATLANTIC OCEAN... An upper level trough passes through 32N60W, to the eastern sections of the Dominican Republic. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is on the eastern side of the trough, from 27N northward. Broken to overcast multilayered clouds and possible rainshowers are elsewhere in the Atlantic Ocean, from 20N northward, to the west of the upper level trough. A stationary front is along 32N56W to 27N60W and 21N70W, to SE Cuba. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is within 390 nm to the SE and ESE of the stationary front, from 74W in the Caribbean Sea, northeastward to 32N. A surface trough curves from 21N50W to 17N54W to 15N60W. Precipitation: isolated moderate is within 180 nm on either side of the surface trough. A 1018 mb low pressure center is near 29N49W. A surface trough extends from the low pressure center to 26N46W. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong covers the rest of the Atlantic Ocean that is from 20N northward between 43W and the precipitation that is associated with the stationary front. Swell previously generated by Hurricane Teddy and a cold front that moved through at the start of the week will continue to gradually subside tonight. Generally gentle to moderate easterly winds can be expected into the weekend. $$ KONARIK