000 AXNT20 KNHC 231731 RRA TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1731 UTC Wed Sep 23 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1715 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Post-Tropical Cyclone Teddy is centered near 46.0N 61.3W at 23/01500 UTC or 130 nm NE of Halifax Nova Scotia moving NNE at 23 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 967 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt. Scattered moderate convection is within 480 nm of the center in the NE quadrant and 240 nm in the NW quadrant. Please, read the latest NHC Public Advisory at: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPAT5.shtml, and the Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMAT5.shtml, for more details. Please, also consult bulletins and messages from your local weather office. ...TROPICAL WAVES... An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 27W, from 16N southward, moving W 10 to 15 knots. No significant convection is associated with this wave. A weak Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 39W, from 20N southward, moving W 10 to 15 knots. No significant convection is associated with this wave. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Guinea near 10N14W, to 07N26W. No significant convection is occurring along this trough. GULF OF MEXICO... The remnants of Beta are located in southeast Texas. Winds and seas have diminished on Gulf waters, and all convection is now inland. The tail end of a stationary front extends from Cuba near 22N80W to 24N86W to the SE coast of Louisiana near 29N91W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm of the front. The stationary front from the Central to SE Gulf will remain over the southeast Gulf and gradually weaken through the week. Fresh E winds to the east of this front will gradually diminish Thu. CARIBBEAN SEA... A stationary front N of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico is inducing scattered moderate convection from 19N-21N between 62W-66W. Scattered moderate convection associated with the Pacific monsoon trough is occurring off the Panama and Colombia coasts, S of 14N. The upper level wind flow that is in the Caribbean Sea from 70W westward is moving away from an upper level ridge, and toward an inverted trough. The trough is in the western sections of the Caribbean Sea, from the Yucatan Peninsula toward northern sections of Colombia. Northerly swell previously generated by Hurricane Teddy and an early season cold front in the western Atlantic has arrived in Atlantic passages and will continue into Thu night. Mainly gentle to moderate trade winds will dominate the basin through the forecast period, with the exception of moderate to fresh winds near the coast of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. ATLANTIC OCEAN... The remnants of Paulette are located between the Azores and Canary Islands and should diminish in a day or two as a cold front absorbs Paulette. A stationary front extends from the W Atlantic near 31N56W to 21N70W to Cuba near 21N80W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm of the front. A surface trough is noted from 21N48W to 14N55W. Scattered showers are within 60 nm of the trough. Over the W Atlantic, swell previously generated by Hurricane Teddy and a cold front that moved through at the start of the week will only gradually subside by Thu night. Generally gentle to moderate easterly winds can be expected for the remainder of the week. $$ Formosa