000 AXNT20 KNHC 231017 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1205 UTC Wed Sep 23 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0900 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Post-Tropical Cyclone Teddy is centered near 44.5N 62.7W at 23/0900 UTC or 40 nm E of Halifax Nova Scotia moving NNE at 20 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 957 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 60 kt with gusts to 75 kt. Scattered moderate convection is within 480 nm of the center in the NE quadrant and 240 nm in the NW quadrant. Please, read the latest NHC Public Advisory at: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPAT5.shtml, and the Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMAT5.shtml, for more details. Please, also consult bulletins and messages from your local weather office. ...TROPICAL WAVES... An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 26W, from 16N southward, moving W 10 to 15 knots. No significant convection is associated with this wave. A weak Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 38W, from 20N southward, moving W 10 to 15 knots. No significant convection is associated with this wave. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Guinea near 10N14W, to 08N20W, 07N30W, and to 08N35W. No significant convection is occurring along this trough. GULF OF MEXICO... The remnants of Beta are located in southeast Texas. Winds and seas have diminished on Gulf waters, and all convection is now inland. A weakening stationary front extends from near Beta to the western tip of Cuba. Scattered moderate convection is occurring along this boundary. This stationary front will gradually decay through the end of the week. Fresh E winds E of the front, locally strong tonight near the north-central Gulf coast, will decrease Thu as the front becomes more diffuse. CARIBBEAN SEA... A stationary front over the Greater Antilles is inducing scattered moderate to locally strong convection over and near these islands. Scattered moderate convection associated with the Pacific monsoon trough is occurring off the Panama and Colombia coasts, S of 12N. The upper level wind flow that is in the Caribbean Sea from 70W westward is moving away from an upper level ridge, and toward an inverted trough. The trough is in the western sections of the Caribbean Sea, from the Yucatan Peninsula toward northern sections of Colombia. Northerly swell previously generated by Hurricane Teddy and an early season cold front in the western Atlantic has arrived in Atlantic passages and will continue into Thu night. Mainly gentle to moderate trade winds will dominate the basin through the forecast period, with the exception of moderate to fresh winds near the coast of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. ATLANTIC OCEAN... The remnants of Paulette are located between the Azores and Canary Islands and should diminish in a day or two as a cold front absorbs Paulette. A stationary front extends from 32N57W SW into Cuba. Scattered moderate convection is occurring along this boundary. A surface trough is noted from 23N45W to 16N50W to 12N60W. No significant convection is occurring with this trough. Farther east, another surface trough is along 27W from 13N to 24N. No significant convection is occurring with this trough. Swell previously generated by Hurricane Teddy and a cold front that moved through at the start of the week will only gradually subside over the area, but higher seas will persist into Thu night. Generally gentle to moderate easterly winds can be expected for the remainder of the week. $$ KONARIK