000 AXNT20 KNHC 071733 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 122 PM EDT Fri Aug 7 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. corrected final paragraph of tropical waves section Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1715 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... The Atlantic tropical wave near 40W has been repositioned to 35W based on satellite imagery and latest model guidance. The wave is moving west around 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection in the vicinity of the wave axis. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 51W, south of 19N, moving west at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 12N between 49W and 54W. A Caribbean Sea tropical wave has been analyzed along 67W, south of 20N based on recent upper level sounding data. An area of scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted in the eastern Caribbean Sea, from 11N-16N between the Lesser Antilles to 69W. ASCAT data indicated locally gust of up gale force winds associated to the strong convection east of the wave axis. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes the coastal sections of Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W to 19N30W to 08N49W. The ITCZ continues west of the tropical wave, from 09N54W to 08N62W. Limited convection is noted along the convergence zone axis, except scattered moderate to isolated strong convection from 07N to 10N between 38W and 42W. GULF OF MEXICO... Broad upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the Gulf of Mexico. A stationary front extends along the north central Gulf coast from a low pressure near Mobile, Alabama to Port Arthur, Texas. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted from the NE Gulf, near the Big Bend of Florida to the Bay of Campeche, including the Yucatan Peninsula. Tropical wave over 96W in southern Mexico is enhancing scattered to moderate convection along the western Gulf coast from the western coast of the Bay of Campeche to 23N. On the forecast, light to gentle winds will dominate the Gulf waters through Tue night. Stronger winds are expected in the eastern Bay of Campeche and west of the Yucatan peninsula at night due to local effects. CARIBBEAN SEA... Broad upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the entire Caribbean Sea. The strong convection noted in the eastern Caribbean Sea is associated to the tropical wave along 67W. Scattered moderate convection covers the southwest Caribbean south of 13N between 75W-82W. ASCAT data shows moderate easterly trades across the basin with the exception of fresh winds south 16N between 69W-77W. Fresh to strong trade winds are expected across the central Caribbean through Tue, with strongest winds expected Sat night and Sun. Moderate to fresh winds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras and eastern Caribbean through Tue night. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A weak surface trough is analyzed from 29N62W to 29N75W with some scattered showers in the vicinity of the trough axis. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted from 29N to 34N associated to nearby stationary front. A surface ridge extends from a 1020 mb high near 29N23W, to a 1023 mb high near 26N53W. A stationary front north of 31N is enhancing scattered showers from 29N to 32N near a 1017 mb low pressure in the northeast. Light to gentle winds are expected across northern waters through Tue, and moderate to fresh easterly winds will dominate the waters south of 23N from the Great Bahama Bank to north of Hispaniola. $$ MTorres