000 AXNT20 KNHC 100944 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 543 AM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0900 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is along 35W from 13N southward moving W at 10 knots. Any shower activity in the vicinity of this wave is mainly associated with the ITCZ. A tropical wave is along 53W from 12N southward moving W at 10 knots. Scattered moderate convection is within about 120 nm E of this tropical wave axis. A tropical wave is along 67W from 15 southward moving W at 10 knots. All convection associated with this wave is located onshore in Venezuela. A tropical wave is along 85W from 15N southward, extending into Honduras, moving W at 5 10 knots. No significant deep convective precipitation is apparent with this tropical wave. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Guinea near 11N14W to 08N22W. The ITCZ continues from 08N22W to 06N35W, then is interrupted by a tropical wave and then stretches from 02N37W to 02N47W. Precipitation: Numerous strong convection exits within 180 nm either side of the monsoon trough. Scattered moderate convection is located within 90 nm on both sides of the ITCZ. GULF OF MEXICO... Weak high pressure is dominating Gulf weather. With it centered to the east of the area, moderate S winds are ongoing across the waters. No convection is occurring. Weak high pressure across the NW Bahamas extends westward to the central Gulf and will maintain moderate to fresh southerly winds, highest in the western Gulf, most of the week. A cold front will exit the Texas coast this afternoon, reach a line from Florida Panhandle to the SW Gulf Thu night, then stall and gradually dissipate from the Florida Big Bend to western Bay of Campeche late Fri through Sat. CARIBBEAN SEA... An upper level trough exists over the eastern Caribbean. At the surface, lower pressure associated with a monsoon trough is leading tonumerous strong convection in Caribbbean waters adjacent to Colombia and Panama. Otherwise, aside from some moderate showers south of Hispaniola, dry conditions prevail. Generally moderate trade winds will prevail across most of the basin through Sat as weak high pressure prevails across the W Atlc. A pulse of fresh to locally strong winds is expected in the Gulf of Honduras tonight. A tropical wave in the western Caribbean will move into Central America later today. A tropical wave that passed south of Puerto Rico earlier will pass south of Hispaniola today then south of Jamaica Thu night. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A 1010 mb low pressure center is near 32N54W. A cold front curves away from the 1010 mb low pressure center to 22N60W, then stalls and extends NW to 30N78W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is along the frontal boundary, especially east of 65W. The low will remain nearly stationary and weaken through the end of the week. The cold front will sag into the Bahamas and Turks and Caicos today, then stall tonight just north of the Greater Antilles, where it will gradually dissipate into the weekend. High pressure will build in behind the front and be the dominant weather feature into the weekend. $$ KONARIK