000 AXNT20 KNHC 262304 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2300 UTC Sun Apr 26 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2300 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from 07.5N13W to 03N17W. The ITCZ continues from 03N17W to 01S36W to the coast of Brazil near 00N49W. Scattered moderate convection is from 02S-06N between 22W- 35W, and from 03S-07N between 42W-53W. GULF OF MEXICO... As of 26/1500 UTC, a cold front extends across the basin from Cape Coral Florida to near Tampico, Mexico. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico from 23N-28N between South Florida and 86W. Another trough is producing scattered showers over the Bay of Campeche. Drier air prevails behind the cold front. Moderate to fresh winds prevail west of the front, with light to gentle winds east of the front. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range west of the front, and 1-3 ft east of the front. The cold front will move slowly SE across the eastern Gulf through tonight, then exit the area on Mon morning. Another cold front will move into the northern Gulf Wed afternoon and reach from the Florida Big Bend to 25N90W to northeastern Mexico early Thu. The western part of the front will become stationary and weaken through late Thu night, while the rest of the front will weaken as it exits the SE Gulf Fri. Weak high pressure will build across the area in the wake of this front. CARIBBEAN SEA... Fresh to strong winds prevail over the south central Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere in the western Caribbean. Isolated showers are embedded within the tradewind flow. Seas are in the 7-10 ft range over the south central Caribbean and 4-6 ft elsewhere. High pressure extending from the central Atlantic to the NW Bahamas will maintain fresh to strong trade winds over the south-central Caribbean through Tue before weakening. A weak cold front will sink across W Cuba and the Yucatan Channel Mon through Mon night before dissipating Tue. Smoke from agricultural fires in Central America could reduce visibility over the Gulf of Honduras for the next several days. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front extends over the NW part of the discussion area from 31N78W to near Melbourne, Florida. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is seen within 270 nm east of the cold front, including South Florida and the northwest Bahamas. Gentle to moderate W winds are behind the front. Moderate to fresh wind speeds prevail elsewhere across the west Atlantic. Farther east, ridging prevails across the remainder of the Atlantic, anchored by a 1025 mb high near 28N52W. Light to gentle winds are near the east- west oriented surface ridge axis, which extends along 27/28N between 37W-70W. Moderate to fresh trades prevail over the tropical waters S of 20N. Isolated showers are embedded within this tradewind flow. Over the open waters, seas are in the 4-6 ft range S of 20N, and 3-4 ft elsewhere. The cold front will move SE across the offshore waters and reach from 31N70W to the coast of NW Cuba Mon morning before stalling and dissipating from 28N65W to Cuba Tue morning. High pressure behind the front will slide eastward along 31N. Yet another cold front will move off the southeastern U.S. coast and to the forecast waters Wed night into Thu, preceded by fresh to strong southerly winds. $$ AL/Hagen