775 AXNT20 KNHC 252301 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2300 UTC Sat Apr 25 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2300 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from 08N13W to 04N19W. The ITCZ continues from 04N19W to 01N35W to 03N50W. Scattered moderate convection is from 06S-07N between 14W-50W. GULF OF MEXICO... A cold front extends from Mississippi to S Texas. A pre-frontal trough extends from 28N85W to 24.5N90W to 24N98W. A thin line of cloudiness and possible isolated showers is present within 15 nm E of the pre- frontal trough. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 25N- 27N between the west coast of Florida and 84W. Isolated showers extend southwestward from that area of convection to the NW Yucatan Peninsula. Fresh to strong winds prevail N of the front, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. Seas are in the 3-5 ft range over the western Gulf, and 1-3 ft over the eastern Gulf. The cold front will move across the northern Gulf tonight, then reach from near Tampa Florida to the SW Gulf on Sun. The front will move SE of the area into the NW Caribbean on Mon with high pressure building in it wake. Another cold front will move into the northern Gulf Wed night. CARIBBEAN SEA... Fresh to strong winds prevail over the south central Caribbean as well as over the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh winds prevail elsewhere except for the NW Caribbean where gentle winds prevail. Isolated to scattered light showers are embedded within the tradewind flow. Seas are in the 7-10 ft range over the south central Caribbean and 4-6 ft elsewhere. High pressure extending from the central Atlantic to the NW Bahamas will maintain fresh to strong trade winds over the south-central Caribbean through Tue before weakening. Strong east to southeast winds will pulse at night over the Gulf of Honduras this weekend. Smoke from agricultural fires in Central America could reduce visibility over the Gulf of Honduras for the next several days. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A surface trough extends from 30N72W to the coast of Central Florida. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection if noted ovcer the discussion area in the vicinity of this trough. Gentle to moderate winds are noted over the western part of the discussion area. Farther east, surface ridging prevails across the remainder of the basin, anchored by a 1025 mb high near 30N43W. Moderate to fresh tradewinds, and seas in the 6-8 ft range, prevail across the tropical Atlantic S of 20N. Isolated showers are embedded within this tradewind flow. Light to gentle winds, and seas in the 4-6 ft range, prevail across the remainder of the forecast waters. A cold front will move off the SE U.S. coast Sun night and cross the offshore waters N of 22N Mon through Tue night. The front is expected to stall across the central Bahamas Wed as high pressure slides eastward along 31N. Yet another cold front will move off the SE U.S. coast Wed night into Thu preceded by fresh to strong southerly winds along with scattered showers and thunderstorms. $$ AL/Hagen